← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island0.88+1.00vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley0.73+0.52vs Predicted
-
3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+0.03vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego-0.70+0.07vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Cruz-1.40-0.15vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Davis-1.14-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.0University of Rhode Island0.8841.3%1st Place
-
2.52University of California at Berkeley0.7324.5%1st Place
-
3.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.2616.6%1st Place
-
4.07University of California at San Diego-0.708.5%1st Place
-
4.85University of California at Santa Cruz-1.404.0%1st Place
-
4.53University of California at Davis-1.145.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Coghlin | 41.3% | 30.8% | 17.4% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 24.5% | 28.3% | 26.2% | 14.6% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Florence Duff | 16.6% | 20.6% | 25.7% | 21.7% | 11.8% | 3.6% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 8.5% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 25.2% | 25.4% | 18.9% |
| Althea White | 4.0% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 14.6% | 24.6% | 44.6% |
| Scarlett Dawson | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 16.6% | 30.2% | 31.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.