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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.69+2.42vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.25+0.60vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.87-0.82vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.14-1.53vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.76-1.84vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.44-2.35vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University0.76-3.82vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-0.03-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42University of Washington1.690.2%1st Place
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2.6University of Washington2.250.3%1st Place
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3.18Western Washington University1.870.2%1st Place
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4.47Western Washington University1.140.1%1st Place
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5.16University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
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5.65Northwestern University0.440.1%1st Place
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5.18Oregon State University0.760.1%1st Place
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6.33University of Oregon-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyce Flanagan | 18.0% | 19.3% | 19.2% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
| Kris Thompson | 30.5% | 25.2% | 18.8% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Paul Foley | 20.6% | 20.5% | 19.9% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Angela Gossom | 9.8% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 12.2% | 6.7% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 17.8% | 19.2% | 12.4% |
| Marius Malkevicius | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 19.5% | 24.1% |
| Aike Burger | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 18.0% | 15.0% |
| Kaili Swetland | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 21.5% | 38.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.