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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas1.65+4.01vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.81+5.48vs Predicted
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3University of North Texas1.77+1.53vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+2.89vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.98+1.82vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.48+0.61vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-2.23vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis0.07+1.52vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy0.97-2.04vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University0.53-1.13vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.68-2.46vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.17-2.44vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-0.83-1.15vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-6.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.01University of Texas1.6514.0%1st Place
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7.48University of Washington0.815.4%1st Place
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4.53University of North Texas1.7715.3%1st Place
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6.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.138.2%1st Place
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6.82University of California at Berkeley0.987.3%1st Place
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6.61University of California at Los Angeles1.488.1%1st Place
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4.77University of California at Santa Barbara1.4414.1%1st Place
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9.52University of California at Davis0.072.7%1st Place
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6.96California Poly Maritime Academy0.978.1%1st Place
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8.87San Diego State University0.533.5%1st Place
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8.54University of California at San Diego0.683.6%1st Place
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9.56Northwestern University0.172.9%1st Place
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11.85California State University Channel Islands-0.831.1%1st Place
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7.59University of California at Santa Cruz0.825.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Froelich | 14.0% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Dutch Byerly | 15.3% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Will Cornell | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Ted McDonough | 14.1% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 11.9% |
| Ben Louttit | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 7.8% |
| Noah Barton | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 6.9% |
| Matthew Beretta | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 17.1% | 11.8% |
| Rob Reigelman | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 49.2% |
| George Soliman | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.