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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.25+1.58vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.87+1.20vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.69+0.46vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon0.76+0.16vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-0.03+0.43vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University1.14-4.57vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University0.44-4.26vs Predicted
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11Oregon State University0.76-5.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58University of Washington2.250.3%1st Place
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3.2Western Washington University1.870.2%1st Place
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3.46University of Washington1.690.2%1st Place
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5.16University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
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6.43University of Oregon-0.030.0%1st Place
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4.43Western Washington University1.140.1%1st Place
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5.74Northwestern University0.440.0%1st Place
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5.01Oregon State University0.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Thompson | 31.7% | 24.6% | 18.2% | 12.7% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Paul Foley | 20.3% | 21.0% | 18.8% | 15.9% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 17.1% | 18.9% | 18.0% | 17.1% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 19.0% | 13.7% |
| Kaili Swetland | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 13.8% | 20.6% | 41.4% |
| Angela Gossom | 10.7% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 7.3% |
| Marius Malkevicius | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 24.1% | 23.1% |
| Aike Burger | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 18.0% | 15.9% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.