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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.73+5.48vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.26+6.73vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.32+3.99vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.57+4.87vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.44+4.32vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.59+4.24vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68+1.25vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.06-1.52vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.78-0.61vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.95+0.44vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.98-4.07vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.87-2.64vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.00-2.43vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University2.10-7.66vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.65-1.50vs Predicted
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16Hampton University0.72-3.12vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.21-7.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.48Webb Institute1.739.8%1st Place
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8.73Old Dominion University1.265.8%1st Place
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6.99University of Miami2.328.8%1st Place
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8.87North Carolina State University1.575.9%1st Place
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9.32George Washington University1.444.3%1st Place
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10.24Northeastern University1.594.7%1st Place
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8.25St. Mary's College of Maryland1.685.7%1st Place
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6.48Tulane University2.0610.4%1st Place
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8.39U. S. Naval Academy1.785.5%1st Place
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10.44Boston University0.953.5%1st Place
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6.93Fordham University1.988.6%1st Place
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9.36University of Vermont0.875.0%1st Place
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10.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.004.0%1st Place
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6.34Jacksonville University2.1010.3%1st Place
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13.5Christopher Newport University0.651.3%1st Place
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12.88Hampton University0.721.8%1st Place
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9.23Cornell University1.214.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Blake Goodwin | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.1% |
| Nathan Jensen | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Zander King | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Tanner Kelly | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Dylan Balunas | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 6.6% |
| Jacob Zils | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Christian Cushman | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% |
| Owen Bannasch | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 16.6% | 34.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 25.8% |
| Gilda Dondona | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.