Race 1A

souther-series-five

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Marly Isler 11.1% 13.9% 15.2% 13.8% 17.3% 14.3% 7.6% 4.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryce Kopp 20.6% 20.7% 18.6% 15.7% 10.8% 6.6% 4.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sean McLaughlin 5.6% 5.2% 8.9% 8.5% 10.9% 15.1% 14.7% 16.9% 9.4% 4.0% 0.8% 0.0%
James Scanlon 4.3% 4.8% 5.8% 8.6% 11.9% 12.9% 16.4% 16.5% 11.5% 6.0% 1.3% 0.0%
Alexandra Swanson 4.1% 6.2% 7.7% 8.3% 10.5% 13.1% 16.1% 14.4% 12.0% 5.9% 1.7% 0.0%
Bryce Kopp 20.6% 20.7% 18.6% 15.7% 10.8% 6.6% 4.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
James Moody 13.9% 16.7% 15.7% 16.8% 12.9% 11.1% 6.3% 4.5% 1.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Max Nickbarg 32.5% 22.8% 18.0% 12.5% 7.6% 4.4% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lyndsay Stockwell 0.9% 1.5% 0.9% 1.7% 2.2% 4.0% 5.5% 8.1% 17.0% 24.6% 33.6% 0.0%
Joshua Revkin 1.1% 1.5% 2.1% 2.3% 1.7% 3.3% 5.5% 7.4% 18.2% 26.3% 30.6% 0.0%
Thomas Gallagher 5.0% 5.7% 6.0% 9.7% 11.3% 11.0% 16.4% 16.1% 10.4% 7.0% 1.4% 0.0%
Brian Reilly 0.9% 1.0% 1.1% 2.1% 2.9% 4.2% 5.8% 8.6% 17.3% 25.6% 30.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.