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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.88+1.02vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.73+0.45vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.260.00vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis-1.14+0.58vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-1.40-0.11vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.70-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02University of Rhode Island0.8839.5%1st Place
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2.45University of California at Berkeley0.7327.0%1st Place
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3.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.2618.2%1st Place
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4.58University of California at Davis-1.144.2%1st Place
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4.89University of California at Santa Cruz-1.403.2%1st Place
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4.06University of California at San Diego-0.708.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Coghlin | 39.5% | 32.0% | 17.8% | 8.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 27.0% | 28.4% | 25.2% | 12.3% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Florence Duff | 18.2% | 19.6% | 24.2% | 22.9% | 12.1% | 3.0% |
| Scarlett Dawson | 4.2% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 18.2% | 29.9% | 31.6% |
| Althea White | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 15.0% | 23.8% | 45.6% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 8.0% | 8.9% | 15.4% | 22.8% | 26.6% | 18.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.