Race 2A

souther-series-five

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Alexandra Swanson 3.7% 4.6% 7.7% 7.5% 9.6% 13.1% 17.1% 17.7% 12.1% 5.5% 1.4% 0.0%
Max Nickbarg 30.6% 23.3% 18.3% 13.0% 7.5% 4.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marly Isler 11.5% 13.9% 14.7% 13.7% 16.2% 11.4% 10.8% 5.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
James Moody 13.6% 15.7% 15.2% 15.6% 14.7% 11.2% 7.7% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Sean McLaughlin 6.1% 6.7% 8.7% 11.4% 10.3% 12.6% 15.1% 14.8% 8.6% 5.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Bryce Kopp 20.1% 21.0% 17.7% 15.7% 9.6% 8.4% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
James Scanlon 6.4% 6.0% 7.3% 8.4% 11.9% 13.9% 14.4% 14.5% 11.2% 4.9% 1.1% 0.0%
Thomas Gallagher 4.7% 5.7% 6.5% 9.1% 10.4% 14.0% 13.3% 15.3% 13.4% 6.2% 1.4% 0.0%
Bryce Kopp 20.1% 21.0% 17.7% 15.7% 9.6% 8.4% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Lyndsay Stockwell 1.1% 0.9% 1.6% 1.3% 3.3% 3.1% 3.4% 7.5% 15.3% 26.9% 35.6% 0.0%
Brian Reilly 1.1% 1.4% 1.1% 1.6% 3.1% 4.0% 4.9% 8.3% 16.8% 25.0% 32.7% 0.0%
Joshua Revkin 1.1% 0.8% 1.2% 2.7% 3.4% 3.7% 6.1% 10.4% 18.2% 25.2% 27.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.