Race 3A

souther-series-five

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Alexandra Swanson 3.4% 4.8% 7.6% 7.4% 9.8% 14.0% 17.1% 16.7% 12.2% 5.5% 1.5% 0.0%
Bryce Kopp 21.4% 19.1% 19.9% 15.0% 10.9% 6.6% 5.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Marly Isler 11.9% 13.2% 13.0% 17.1% 14.3% 13.2% 9.6% 5.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Gallagher 4.0% 4.2% 6.6% 7.4% 10.1% 12.3% 16.1% 16.9% 13.3% 7.1% 2.0% 0.0%
Max Nickbarg 30.7% 24.4% 17.5% 10.2% 9.2% 4.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryce Kopp 21.4% 19.1% 19.9% 15.0% 10.9% 6.6% 5.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
James Moody 13.5% 18.4% 15.5% 16.3% 12.4% 10.8% 7.2% 4.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Sean McLaughlin 7.2% 6.8% 8.8% 10.0% 13.1% 14.1% 13.3% 14.3% 8.3% 3.3% 0.8% 0.0%
James Scanlon 4.8% 6.5% 6.4% 10.8% 10.7% 13.8% 13.3% 16.3% 10.5% 6.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Lyndsay Stockwell 0.9% 1.1% 1.5% 2.1% 2.6% 3.2% 3.6% 6.4% 16.7% 25.9% 36.0% 0.0%
Joshua Revkin 1.1% 0.8% 2.0% 1.7% 3.6% 3.8% 5.9% 9.3% 17.3% 26.5% 28.0% 0.0%
Brian Reilly 1.1% 0.7% 1.2% 2.0% 3.3% 3.3% 6.2% 8.6% 18.1% 24.7% 30.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.