Race 4A

souther-series-five

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Bryce Kopp 18.5% 20.5% 18.0% 15.4% 12.6% 8.8% 4.4% 1.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Nickbarg 30.7% 23.0% 17.3% 14.5% 7.7% 4.0% 1.8% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Scanlon 5.0% 4.3% 7.5% 7.3% 10.9% 13.4% 15.8% 16.6% 11.1% 7.1% 1.0% 0.0%
Sean McLaughlin 5.0% 5.9% 7.4% 9.5% 11.7% 15.9% 15.3% 14.6% 9.6% 4.0% 1.1% 0.0%
Thomas Gallagher 4.6% 5.7% 7.3% 7.1% 11.0% 11.7% 14.2% 18.2% 11.2% 7.8% 1.2% 0.0%
Marly Isler 12.5% 14.6% 14.1% 15.2% 14.6% 11.1% 9.4% 5.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Alexandra Swanson 5.9% 5.2% 8.1% 8.3% 12.0% 12.5% 15.0% 15.6% 11.3% 4.8% 1.3% 0.0%
James Moody 15.2% 17.3% 16.9% 15.3% 12.2% 11.0% 8.0% 2.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Bryce Kopp 18.5% 20.5% 18.0% 15.4% 12.6% 8.8% 4.4% 1.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lyndsay Stockwell 1.0% 1.1% 1.4% 1.7% 2.5% 3.6% 4.5% 6.3% 16.0% 26.4% 35.5% 0.0%
Brian Reilly 0.7% 1.3% 0.9% 2.9% 1.9% 4.0% 4.8% 9.2% 17.3% 24.2% 32.8% 0.0%
Joshua Revkin 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 2.8% 2.9% 4.0% 6.8% 9.8% 19.1% 24.6% 26.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.