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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.73+1.44vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.88+0.02vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.70+1.04vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-0.97vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-1.40-0.12vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-1.14-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44University of California at Berkeley0.7327.3%1st Place
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2.02University of Rhode Island0.8842.2%1st Place
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4.04University of California at San Diego-0.707.3%1st Place
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3.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.2616.1%1st Place
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4.88University of California at Santa Cruz-1.402.9%1st Place
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4.6University of California at Davis-1.144.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingsley Ehrich | 27.3% | 28.4% | 24.6% | 13.6% | 5.5% | 0.7% |
| Molly Coghlin | 42.2% | 28.7% | 17.3% | 9.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 7.3% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 25.4% | 25.7% | 17.2% |
| Florence Duff | 16.1% | 21.1% | 25.4% | 21.6% | 12.6% | 3.3% |
| Althea White | 2.9% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 13.9% | 24.8% | 45.1% |
| Scarlett Dawson | 4.3% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 16.5% | 29.2% | 33.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.