Race 5A

souther-series-five

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Alexandra Swanson 3.6% 5.0% 6.8% 8.2% 10.1% 13.8% 14.9% 18.8% 13.4% 4.0% 1.4% 0.0%
Bryce Kopp 21.5% 20.9% 16.2% 16.5% 10.3% 8.1% 5.2% 0.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Nickbarg 26.2% 24.0% 20.2% 12.0% 8.2% 5.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
James Moody 14.8% 13.9% 15.6% 15.8% 15.3% 11.6% 6.6% 4.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Marly Isler 14.4% 13.5% 14.9% 13.4% 15.2% 11.2% 9.3% 5.8% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryce Kopp 21.5% 20.9% 16.2% 16.5% 10.3% 8.1% 5.2% 0.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sean McLaughlin 6.2% 6.5% 8.1% 10.0% 12.9% 12.7% 16.0% 12.5% 8.9% 5.4% 0.8% 0.0%
James Scanlon 6.5% 5.1% 7.5% 9.3% 11.0% 13.6% 14.8% 14.2% 11.6% 4.7% 1.7% 0.0%
Lyndsay Stockwell 1.5% 0.7% 1.3% 1.9% 1.3% 3.7% 5.3% 8.7% 16.7% 27.7% 31.2% 0.0%
Joshua Revkin 1.1% 1.2% 1.5% 2.4% 2.7% 3.3% 4.7% 9.8% 15.9% 26.6% 30.8% 0.0%
Brian Reilly 0.7% 1.2% 1.4% 2.0% 3.5% 2.7% 5.9% 8.1% 17.7% 23.9% 32.9% 0.0%
Thomas Gallagher 3.5% 8.0% 6.5% 8.5% 9.5% 13.4% 14.7% 16.6% 11.7% 6.4% 1.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.