Race 6A

souther-series-five

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Alexandra Swanson 3.3% 5.2% 6.7% 8.8% 9.1% 12.8% 17.7% 17.6% 11.6% 5.7% 1.5% 0.0%
Marly Isler 13.5% 13.6% 17.0% 13.2% 13.6% 13.5% 9.0% 4.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryce Kopp 18.8% 19.2% 19.5% 14.8% 13.0% 7.6% 4.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sean McLaughlin 4.9% 6.3% 7.0% 9.4% 11.5% 15.2% 15.5% 14.1% 10.5% 4.7% 0.9% 0.0%
Max Nickbarg 30.7% 24.6% 16.8% 11.6% 8.1% 5.0% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Moody 14.2% 18.1% 14.9% 16.3% 12.3% 10.8% 7.7% 3.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Gallagher 6.4% 4.8% 6.2% 9.1% 11.3% 11.8% 15.1% 16.4% 11.7% 5.9% 1.3% 0.0%
Bryce Kopp 18.8% 19.2% 19.5% 14.8% 13.0% 7.6% 4.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Scanlon 5.2% 5.7% 7.2% 10.6% 11.7% 12.5% 13.4% 16.1% 11.1% 5.4% 1.1% 0.0%
Lyndsay Stockwell 1.0% 1.0% 1.9% 1.7% 3.0% 2.9% 3.4% 7.2% 15.9% 25.7% 36.3% 0.0%
Joshua Revkin 1.0% 0.9% 1.6% 2.0% 3.6% 3.9% 5.3% 9.3% 17.5% 26.9% 28.0% 0.0%
Brian Reilly 1.0% 0.6% 1.2% 2.5% 2.8% 4.0% 5.6% 8.2% 18.4% 24.8% 30.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.