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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.48+5.04vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.97+4.61vs Predicted
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3University of Texas1.65+1.78vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+0.60vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.68+3.01vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.46+2.59vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis0.07+1.97vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-0.89vs Predicted
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9University of North Texas1.77-4.62vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-3.57vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University0.53-2.59vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.17-2.66vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.08-2.92vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-0.83-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04University of California at Los Angeles1.489.5%1st Place
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6.61California Poly Maritime Academy0.977.2%1st Place
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4.78University of Texas1.6513.6%1st Place
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4.6University of California at Santa Barbara1.4415.0%1st Place
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8.01University of California at San Diego0.684.8%1st Place
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8.59University of Washington0.464.2%1st Place
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8.97University of California at Davis0.074.0%1st Place
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7.11University of California at Santa Cruz0.826.3%1st Place
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4.38University of North Texas1.7716.4%1st Place
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6.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.138.6%1st Place
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8.41San Diego State University0.533.4%1st Place
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9.34Northwestern University0.173.2%1st Place
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10.08University of California at Berkeley-0.082.4%1st Place
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11.64California State University Channel Islands-0.831.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Ben Louttit | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Ethan Froelich | 13.6% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ted McDonough | 15.0% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 3.7% |
| Zackery Martin | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 6.5% |
| Braedon Hansen | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 7.8% |
| George Soliman | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Dutch Byerly | 16.4% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kai Ponting | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 5.6% |
| Matthew Beretta | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 10.3% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 17.3% | 17.2% |
| Rob Reigelman | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.