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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Thomas Gallagher 3.5% 4.6% 6.8% 6.2% 11.4% 11.8% 16.9% 18.1% 14.7% 4.5% 1.5% 0.0%
Max Nickbarg 29.2% 24.3% 18.3% 13.6% 7.6% 4.5% 2.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marly Isler 11.1% 13.9% 15.4% 14.6% 14.3% 13.4% 9.9% 4.4% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
James Moody 14.5% 14.4% 13.7% 17.7% 13.6% 12.7% 7.2% 3.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryce Kopp 21.9% 20.2% 17.7% 16.3% 10.2% 7.1% 4.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexandra Swanson 4.5% 6.6% 5.9% 7.9% 11.7% 12.3% 16.2% 15.4% 10.1% 8.0% 1.4% 0.0%
Bryce Kopp 21.9% 20.2% 17.7% 16.3% 10.2% 7.1% 4.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Scanlon 6.2% 5.7% 8.3% 8.1% 11.3% 13.2% 14.6% 14.4% 11.5% 5.3% 1.4% 0.0%
Brian Reilly 1.4% 0.7% 1.7% 1.6% 1.6% 3.6% 5.7% 9.2% 18.1% 27.3% 29.1% 0.0%
Joshua Revkin 1.0% 1.1% 1.7% 1.6% 4.2% 2.4% 4.8% 9.3% 16.5% 26.6% 30.8% 0.0%
Lyndsay Stockwell 0.9% 0.5% 1.8% 2.3% 2.2% 4.0% 4.8% 8.6% 16.8% 23.1% 35.0% 0.0%
Sean McLaughlin 5.8% 8.0% 8.7% 10.1% 11.9% 15.0% 13.8% 14.3% 7.5% 4.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.