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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.73+1.50vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+1.00vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.88-1.03vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.70+0.02vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-1.40-0.14vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-1.14-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5University of California at Berkeley0.7326.2%1st Place
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3.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.2616.7%1st Place
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1.97University of Rhode Island0.8842.1%1st Place
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4.02University of California at San Diego-0.707.4%1st Place
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4.86University of California at Santa Cruz-1.403.5%1st Place
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4.65University of California at Davis-1.144.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingsley Ehrich | 26.2% | 27.6% | 23.4% | 16.3% | 5.6% | 0.9% |
| Florence Duff | 16.7% | 20.7% | 27.2% | 20.2% | 11.9% | 3.4% |
| Molly Coghlin | 42.1% | 31.0% | 17.4% | 7.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 7.4% | 10.1% | 14.9% | 23.9% | 27.7% | 16.0% |
| Althea White | 3.5% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 14.3% | 25.6% | 44.0% |
| Scarlett Dawson | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 18.0% | 27.3% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.