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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.72+5.43vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.57+0.70vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.76+1.28vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.90+0.02vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.23-1.76vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.76+0.22vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.23-3.76vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.80-2.00vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University0.12-0.87vs Predicted
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11Williams College0.22-1.89vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut0.07-2.79vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-7.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.43Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
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2.7Yale University3.570.3%1st Place
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4.28Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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4.02Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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3.24Connecticut College3.230.2%1st Place
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6.22Brown University1.760.0%1st Place
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3.24Connecticut College3.230.2%1st Place
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6.0University of Rhode Island1.800.1%1st Place
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9.13Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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9.11Williams College0.220.0%1st Place
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9.21University of Connecticut0.070.0%1st Place
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5.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Gallagher | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Max Nickbarg | 29.2% | 24.3% | 18.3% | 13.6% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marly Isler | 11.1% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 14.5% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 17.7% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 21.9% | 20.2% | 17.7% | 16.3% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 21.9% | 20.2% | 17.7% | 16.3% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Scanlon | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Brian Reilly | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 18.1% | 27.3% | 29.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Revkin | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 16.5% | 26.6% | 30.8% | 0.0% |
| Lyndsay Stockwell | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 16.8% | 23.1% | 35.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.