Race 8A

souther-series-five

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Bryce Kopp 18.5% 21.4% 18.1% 16.3% 11.3% 7.3% 4.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Nickbarg 29.8% 24.4% 18.8% 11.9% 7.1% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryce Kopp 18.5% 21.4% 18.1% 16.3% 11.3% 7.3% 4.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
James Moody 14.4% 14.1% 14.4% 16.6% 14.7% 11.3% 8.5% 3.9% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marly Isler 12.0% 12.9% 14.8% 14.3% 16.1% 12.6% 8.4% 5.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Thomas Gallagher 5.1% 4.8% 6.7% 7.9% 10.8% 11.8% 14.7% 18.2% 12.6% 5.9% 1.5% 0.0%
Brian Reilly 0.8% 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% 3.0% 3.4% 5.0% 8.8% 16.7% 25.4% 33.1% 0.0%
Alexandra Swanson 5.9% 6.0% 6.2% 8.8% 10.7% 13.6% 16.4% 14.5% 11.1% 5.5% 1.3% 0.0%
James Scanlon 5.8% 5.0% 8.5% 8.0% 10.0% 14.0% 15.9% 14.6% 12.1% 5.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Joshua Revkin 1.0% 1.5% 1.3% 2.3% 2.6% 3.7% 5.2% 9.1% 16.0% 26.5% 30.8% 0.0%
Sean McLaughlin 5.9% 7.9% 8.5% 10.5% 11.4% 13.8% 13.9% 14.5% 9.0% 4.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Lyndsay Stockwell 0.8% 0.8% 1.4% 2.1% 2.3% 3.6% 4.9% 8.5% 17.3% 26.3% 32.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.