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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis-1.14+3.55vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.73+0.50vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.88-0.98vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-1.01vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.70-0.91vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-1.40-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.55University of California at Davis-1.145.1%1st Place
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2.5University of California at Berkeley0.7325.5%1st Place
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2.02University of Rhode Island0.8841.3%1st Place
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2.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.2617.3%1st Place
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4.09University of California at San Diego-0.706.9%1st Place
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4.84University of California at Santa Cruz-1.404.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scarlett Dawson | 5.1% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 15.9% | 29.5% | 32.3% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 25.5% | 29.3% | 23.4% | 14.5% | 6.2% | 1.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 41.3% | 29.1% | 18.4% | 8.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Florence Duff | 17.3% | 20.8% | 24.4% | 23.5% | 11.1% | 3.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 6.9% | 9.1% | 15.2% | 23.5% | 27.1% | 18.2% |
| Althea White | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 14.0% | 24.1% | 45.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.