Race 9A

souther-series-five

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Max Nickbarg 28.3% 22.8% 18.0% 15.4% 8.2% 5.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Moody 16.1% 14.9% 15.9% 16.6% 13.4% 10.5% 7.2% 3.9% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexandra Swanson 4.7% 5.5% 6.2% 6.5% 11.7% 10.5% 18.5% 14.6% 13.3% 6.9% 1.6% 0.0%
Marly Isler 12.1% 12.5% 14.7% 15.2% 16.4% 11.9% 9.2% 5.3% 2.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Thomas Gallagher 4.6% 5.7% 6.5% 9.1% 9.5% 12.4% 14.7% 17.1% 11.8% 7.7% 0.9% 0.0%
Bryce Kopp 20.1% 21.8% 17.7% 14.6% 9.3% 8.6% 5.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryce Kopp 20.1% 21.8% 17.7% 14.6% 9.3% 8.6% 5.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Sean McLaughlin 6.3% 8.5% 7.6% 9.0% 13.2% 14.7% 14.6% 14.0% 8.0% 3.3% 0.8% 0.0%
James Scanlon 5.0% 4.8% 8.9% 8.4% 10.3% 14.9% 15.6% 13.9% 11.6% 5.5% 1.1% 0.0%
Brian Reilly 1.0% 1.4% 2.0% 1.5% 2.2% 3.8% 3.7% 8.5% 16.0% 26.0% 33.9% 0.0%
Joshua Revkin 0.8% 1.6% 1.4% 1.9% 2.9% 4.3% 4.8% 11.1% 16.1% 26.0% 29.1% 0.0%
Lyndsay Stockwell 1.0% 0.5% 1.1% 1.8% 2.9% 3.2% 5.0% 9.3% 18.7% 24.0% 32.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.