Race 10A

souther-series-five

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Marly Isler 11.4% 13.2% 15.8% 16.2% 14.5% 13.5% 9.5% 3.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Sean McLaughlin 5.8% 6.4% 8.2% 10.9% 11.2% 14.8% 15.8% 13.2% 8.9% 4.2% 0.6% 0.0%
James Moody 13.3% 14.3% 17.3% 16.1% 14.3% 11.6% 7.3% 3.9% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexandra Swanson 4.0% 5.6% 5.7% 7.7% 10.1% 12.3% 16.8% 18.0% 11.5% 6.4% 1.9% 0.0%
Bryce Kopp 21.2% 21.1% 18.5% 14.0% 10.2% 8.1% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
James Scanlon 4.7% 5.2% 7.8% 7.7% 11.3% 12.3% 16.3% 15.6% 11.5% 6.1% 1.5% 0.0%
Max Nickbarg 31.6% 26.3% 15.0% 13.1% 7.3% 3.5% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Gallagher 4.9% 5.0% 7.4% 7.6% 12.4% 13.6% 13.4% 15.7% 12.6% 6.6% 0.8% 0.0%
Joshua Revkin 1.3% 1.1% 1.6% 2.7% 2.3% 3.0% 4.7% 8.9% 17.7% 26.3% 30.4% 0.0%
Brian Reilly 0.9% 0.8% 1.7% 1.9% 3.0% 3.7% 5.2% 10.0% 15.2% 25.1% 32.5% 0.0%
Lyndsay Stockwell 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 2.1% 3.4% 3.6% 4.6% 8.4% 18.2% 24.6% 32.2% 0.0%
Bryce Kopp 21.2% 21.1% 18.5% 14.0% 10.2% 8.1% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.