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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+3.03vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.48+3.39vs Predicted
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3University of North Texas1.77+0.85vs Predicted
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4University of Texas1.65+0.16vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.98+0.47vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy0.97-0.21vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-0.82vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.68-1.09vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University0.53-1.88vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.46-2.52vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands-0.83-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03University of California at Santa Barbara1.4417.3%1st Place
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5.39University of California at Los Angeles1.489.8%1st Place
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3.85University of North Texas1.7718.9%1st Place
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4.16University of Texas1.6516.4%1st Place
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5.47University of California at Berkeley0.988.7%1st Place
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5.79California Poly Maritime Academy0.978.3%1st Place
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6.18University of California at Santa Cruz0.826.7%1st Place
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6.91University of California at San Diego0.684.3%1st Place
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7.12San Diego State University0.534.9%1st Place
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7.48University of Washington0.463.8%1st Place
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9.6California State University Channel Islands-0.830.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted McDonough | 17.3% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Dutch Byerly | 18.9% | 17.1% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Froelich | 16.4% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Will Cornell | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Ben Louttit | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 3.4% |
| George Soliman | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 4.1% |
| Noah Barton | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 7.8% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 9.7% |
| Zackery Martin | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 20.7% | 11.6% |
| Rob Reigelman | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 13.6% | 57.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.