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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.73+5.42vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.98+4.73vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.10+3.49vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.26+4.69vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68+2.84vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.57+2.79vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.44+2.31vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.78+0.45vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.32-1.99vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.21-0.76vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.95-0.70vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.87-2.55vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.06-6.71vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.59-3.57vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.00-4.06vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University0.65-2.42vs Predicted
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17Hampton University0.72-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.42Webb Institute1.739.8%1st Place
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6.73Fordham University1.989.6%1st Place
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6.49Jacksonville University2.1010.9%1st Place
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8.69Old Dominion University1.265.3%1st Place
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7.84St. Mary's College of Maryland1.687.4%1st Place
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8.79North Carolina State University1.575.3%1st Place
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9.31George Washington University1.445.0%1st Place
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8.45U. S. Naval Academy1.785.7%1st Place
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7.01University of Miami2.327.8%1st Place
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9.24Cornell University1.214.8%1st Place
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10.3Boston University0.954.1%1st Place
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9.45University of Vermont0.874.2%1st Place
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6.29Tulane University2.0611.2%1st Place
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10.43Northeastern University1.593.5%1st Place
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10.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.002.4%1st Place
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13.58Christopher Newport University0.651.4%1st Place
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13.05Hampton University0.721.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Zils | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Owen Bannasch | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Blake Goodwin | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Nathan Jensen | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Tanner Kelly | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Gilda Dondona | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Dylan Balunas | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 5.8% |
| Christian Cushman | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Zander King | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.8% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 17.3% | 33.8% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 16.6% | 26.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.