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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.45+1.55vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.45+0.67vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.30-0.25vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99+0.63vs Predicted
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6Yale University0.34-0.32vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University-0.95+0.66vs Predicted
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8Williams College-0.03-1.59vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.64-3.72vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-0.72-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55Dartmouth College2.450.3%1st Place
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2.67Yale University2.450.2%1st Place
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2.75Tufts University2.300.3%1st Place
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4.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.1%1st Place
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5.68Yale University0.340.0%1st Place
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7.66Sacred Heart University-0.950.0%1st Place
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6.41Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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5.28University of Rhode Island0.640.0%1st Place
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7.38University of Connecticut-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Petno | 29.4% | 23.7% | 22.9% | 14.4% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Anderson | 24.6% | 28.4% | 21.3% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 25.8% | 22.9% | 21.2% | 16.9% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 7.1% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 21.9% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Zachary Foreman | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 18.1% | 17.5% | 14.3% | 6.8% |
| Katherine Horne | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 25.6% | 42.6% |
| Jorge Castro | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 17.3% | 24.6% | 20.0% | 11.9% |
| Samuel Morley | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 18.3% | 20.9% | 15.9% | 10.3% | 2.7% |
| Alexandra Rice | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 25.0% | 35.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.