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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.88+0.60vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.73-0.05vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-1.40+0.48vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.70-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.6University of Rhode Island0.8852.8%1st Place
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1.95University of California at Berkeley0.7334.2%1st Place
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3.48University of California at Santa Cruz-1.404.0%1st Place
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2.98University of California at San Diego-0.708.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Coghlin | 52.8% | 35.4% | 10.5% | 1.3% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 34.2% | 41.5% | 19.6% | 4.6% |
| Althea White | 4.0% | 8.0% | 24.5% | 63.5% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 8.9% | 15.1% | 45.4% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.