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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.30+1.77vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.45+0.66vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.45-0.46vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99+0.60vs Predicted
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5Yale University0.34+0.69vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.64-0.73vs Predicted
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8Williams College-0.03-1.58vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-0.72-1.63vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University-0.95-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77Tufts University2.300.2%1st Place
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2.66Yale University2.450.2%1st Place
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2.54Dartmouth College2.450.3%1st Place
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4.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.1%1st Place
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5.69Yale University0.340.0%1st Place
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5.27University of Rhode Island0.640.0%1st Place
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6.42Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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7.37University of Connecticut-0.720.0%1st Place
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7.67Sacred Heart University-0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Levinson | 24.7% | 24.4% | 21.0% | 15.7% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Anderson | 24.8% | 27.3% | 22.7% | 13.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Petno | 30.3% | 25.0% | 19.6% | 14.3% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 7.5% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 19.9% | 17.7% | 11.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Zachary Foreman | 3.3% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 18.2% | 17.3% | 14.5% | 6.6% |
| Samuel Morley | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 15.0% | 18.6% | 19.5% | 17.7% | 9.5% | 2.0% |
| Jorge Castro | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 11.0% | 17.4% | 23.6% | 20.9% | 11.8% |
| Alexandra Rice | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 14.7% | 29.0% | 32.5% |
| Katherine Horne | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 22.1% | 45.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.