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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.99+2.86vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.79+1.77vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+1.31vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.74+2.61vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+1.45vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+1.44vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.19+2.18vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.98-1.93vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.70-2.39vs Predicted
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10University of North Texas-0.15-0.89vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University-0.21-1.99vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis0.00-3.32vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.46-0.84vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-1.34-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86California Poly Maritime Academy1.9917.7%1st Place
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3.77University of California at Los Angeles1.7920.1%1st Place
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4.31University of California at Santa Barbara1.3516.1%1st Place
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6.61University of Washington0.746.3%1st Place
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6.45University of California at Santa Cruz0.867.1%1st Place
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7.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.515.8%1st Place
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9.18San Diego State University-0.192.6%1st Place
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6.07University of California at Berkeley0.988.6%1st Place
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6.61University of Rhode Island0.706.2%1st Place
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9.11University of North Texas-0.152.3%1st Place
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9.01Northwestern University-0.212.6%1st Place
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8.68University of California at Davis0.003.3%1st Place
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12.16University of California at San Diego-1.460.6%1st Place
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11.75California State University Channel Islands-1.340.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Paquin | 17.7% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 20.1% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 16.1% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Blake Roberts | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Max Case | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Morgan Burton | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 4.9% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| John Mason | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Taylor Snyder | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 4.9% |
| Maxime Visa | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 5.2% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 2.9% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 21.2% | 44.2% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 23.6% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.