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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy-0.45+4.15vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.10+1.69vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.63+2.45vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis-0.58+2.40vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-1.03+1.79vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43+2.14vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy-1.63+1.90vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.93+1.58vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.72+0.30vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94-3.39vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-1.13-3.65vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-1.94-2.28vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.93-3.41vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.39-5.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.15California Poly Maritime Academy-0.4512.8%1st Place
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3.69University of California at Santa Cruz0.1022.4%1st Place
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5.45University of California at Berkeley-0.639.9%1st Place
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6.4University of California at Davis-0.588.5%1st Place
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6.79University of California at Los Angeles-1.037.6%1st Place
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8.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.435.7%1st Place
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8.9California Poly Maritime Academy-1.633.8%1st Place
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9.58University of California at San Diego-1.932.5%1st Place
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9.3University of California at San Diego-1.723.1%1st Place
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6.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.947.6%1st Place
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7.35San Diego State University-1.135.7%1st Place
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9.72California State University Channel Islands-1.943.2%1st Place
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9.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.932.9%1st Place
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8.33University of California at Los Angeles-1.394.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Shintani | 12.8% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Jack Zemke | 22.4% | 18.0% | 16.1% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Max Lawall | 9.9% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Jonah Brees | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| samson grunwald | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Walden Hillegass | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 5.9% |
| Rebecca Masliah | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.0% |
| Joseph Weil | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 18.0% |
| Michael Nodini | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 12.8% |
| Nathan Briar | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Blake Grossman | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| Brooke Rodgers | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 20.2% |
| Alexis Di Stefano | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 17.4% |
| Deven Douglas | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.