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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.45+1.55vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.30+0.87vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99+1.74vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.45-1.50vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.64+0.17vs Predicted
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7Yale University0.34-1.23vs Predicted
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8Williams College-0.03-1.63vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-0.95-1.33vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-0.72-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55Dartmouth College2.450.3%1st Place
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2.87Tufts University2.300.2%1st Place
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4.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.1%1st Place
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2.5Yale University2.450.3%1st Place
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5.17University of Rhode Island0.640.0%1st Place
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5.77Yale University0.340.0%1st Place
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6.37Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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7.67Sacred Heart University-0.950.0%1st Place
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7.36University of Connecticut-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Petno | 28.9% | 26.7% | 19.8% | 13.8% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 21.9% | 24.2% | 22.4% | 16.3% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 6.3% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 21.8% | 17.9% | 11.8% | 5.6% | 0.9% |
| Eric Anderson | 30.2% | 24.5% | 23.0% | 13.4% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Morley | 4.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 18.0% | 17.8% | 15.0% | 9.2% | 3.8% |
| Zachary Foreman | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 18.8% | 20.6% | 14.6% | 5.5% |
| Jorge Castro | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 18.8% | 22.9% | 19.6% | 11.6% |
| Katherine Horne | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 23.1% | 45.0% |
| Alexandra Rice | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 27.8% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.