← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.45+1.55vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.30+0.86vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99+1.75vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.45-1.50vs Predicted
-
5Yale University0.34+0.67vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island0.64-0.76vs Predicted
-
7Williams College-0.03-0.60vs Predicted
-
9University of Connecticut-0.72-1.64vs Predicted
-
10Sacred Heart University-0.95-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.55Dartmouth College2.450.3%1st Place
-
2.86Tufts University2.300.2%1st Place
-
4.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.1%1st Place
-
2.5Yale University2.450.3%1st Place
-
5.67Yale University0.340.0%1st Place
-
5.24University of Rhode Island0.640.0%1st Place
-
6.4Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
-
7.36University of Connecticut-0.720.0%1st Place
-
7.67Sacred Heart University-0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Petno | 28.8% | 26.7% | 19.9% | 13.8% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 22.2% | 24.2% | 21.9% | 16.4% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 6.3% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 16.7% | 20.0% | 18.9% | 12.6% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Eric Anderson | 29.8% | 25.2% | 23.0% | 12.9% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Foreman | 3.3% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 17.5% | 14.0% | 6.8% |
| Samuel Morley | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 14.5% | 18.8% | 21.1% | 16.9% | 8.9% | 2.0% |
| Jorge Castro | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 11.1% | 18.0% | 22.2% | 21.6% | 11.5% |
| Alexandra Rice | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 15.1% | 28.7% | 32.5% |
| Katherine Horne | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 13.2% | 21.8% | 45.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.