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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.74+1.23vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.12+0.96vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.40+0.61vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+0.62vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.30-2.25vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-1.41-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23University of California at Berkeley0.7435.1%1st Place
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2.96University of Hawaii0.1219.6%1st Place
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3.61University of California at San Diego-0.4013.1%1st Place
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4.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.955.9%1st Place
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2.75University of California at Santa Cruz0.3022.1%1st Place
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4.83University of California at Davis-1.414.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Olsen | 35.1% | 29.9% | 18.6% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 19.6% | 21.7% | 22.4% | 19.7% | 12.5% | 4.2% |
| Rita Usmanova | 13.1% | 12.7% | 17.2% | 25.2% | 21.0% | 10.8% |
| Macy Rowe | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 27.5% | 37.1% |
| Summer Drake | 22.1% | 24.3% | 23.6% | 18.8% | 8.8% | 2.4% |
| Melody Quevedo | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 25.4% | 44.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.