← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+3.33vs Predicted
-
2California Poly Maritime Academy1.99+1.76vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Los Angeles1.79+0.77vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+2.41vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+2.59vs Predicted
-
6University of Washington0.74+0.64vs Predicted
-
7University of North Texas-0.15+2.20vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley0.98-1.89vs Predicted
-
9San Diego State University-0.19+0.19vs Predicted
-
10Northwestern University-0.21-1.02vs Predicted
-
11California State University Channel Islands-1.34+0.64vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Davis0.00-3.34vs Predicted
-
13University of California at San Diego-1.46-0.82vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island0.70-7.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.33University of California at Santa Barbara1.3515.3%1st Place
-
3.76California Poly Maritime Academy1.9919.1%1st Place
-
3.77University of California at Los Angeles1.7920.6%1st Place
-
6.41University of California at Santa Cruz0.867.1%1st Place
-
7.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.514.5%1st Place
-
6.64University of Washington0.746.5%1st Place
-
9.2University of North Texas-0.152.7%1st Place
-
6.11University of California at Berkeley0.987.1%1st Place
-
9.19San Diego State University-0.192.4%1st Place
-
8.98Northwestern University-0.212.2%1st Place
-
11.64California State University Channel Islands-1.341.1%1st Place
-
8.66University of California at Davis0.002.8%1st Place
-
12.18University of California at San Diego-1.460.9%1st Place
-
6.55University of Rhode Island0.707.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Reid | 15.3% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 19.1% | 17.0% | 17.1% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 20.6% | 17.4% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Max Case | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Erin Pamplin | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Snyder | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 5.1% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Burton | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 5.4% |
| Maxime Visa | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 4.6% |
| Joseph Silveira | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 11.7% | 25.0% | 32.8% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 3.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 19.6% | 46.1% |
| John Mason | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.