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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.45+1.53vs Predicted
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2Yale University0.34+3.93vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.45-0.41vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99+0.58vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.30-2.30vs Predicted
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6Williams College-0.03+0.34vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.72+0.39vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.64-2.72vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University-0.95-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53Dartmouth College2.450.3%1st Place
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5.93Yale University0.340.0%1st Place
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2.59Yale University2.450.3%1st Place
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4.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.1%1st Place
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2.7Tufts University2.300.3%1st Place
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6.34Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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7.39University of Connecticut-0.720.0%1st Place
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5.28University of Rhode Island0.640.1%1st Place
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7.65Sacred Heart University-0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Petno | 27.0% | 28.2% | 22.6% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Foreman | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 21.6% | 20.4% | 15.1% | 6.4% |
| Eric Anderson | 27.3% | 25.5% | 21.7% | 15.0% | 8.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 7.0% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 18.6% | 20.1% | 18.3% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Kate Levinson | 25.9% | 24.7% | 22.4% | 13.7% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jorge Castro | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 17.4% | 23.8% | 18.0% | 12.1% |
| Alexandra Rice | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 16.2% | 28.8% | 32.2% |
| Samuel Morley | 5.6% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 13.9% | 19.6% | 19.5% | 15.6% | 10.0% | 3.3% |
| Katherine Horne | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 22.9% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.