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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.45+1.56vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.30+0.86vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.45-0.45vs Predicted
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4Yale University0.34+1.69vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-0.38vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.64-0.71vs Predicted
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8Williams College-0.03-1.59vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-0.95-1.34vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-0.72-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Dartmouth College2.450.3%1st Place
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2.86Tufts University2.300.2%1st Place
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2.55Yale University2.450.3%1st Place
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5.69Yale University0.340.0%1st Place
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4.62Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.1%1st Place
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5.29University of Rhode Island0.640.0%1st Place
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6.41Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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7.66Sacred Heart University-0.950.0%1st Place
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7.36University of Connecticut-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Petno | 28.3% | 25.4% | 23.4% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 22.2% | 24.2% | 22.1% | 17.2% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Eric Anderson | 29.7% | 24.8% | 19.9% | 15.5% | 7.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Foreman | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 11.1% | 16.7% | 20.4% | 19.2% | 12.8% | 5.8% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 6.8% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 18.5% | 17.9% | 16.5% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 1.6% |
| Samuel Morley | 4.1% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 19.6% | 20.8% | 15.2% | 10.1% | 2.8% |
| Jorge Castro | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 11.1% | 17.8% | 23.6% | 20.0% | 12.0% |
| Katherine Horne | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 12.6% | 23.6% | 44.4% |
| Alexandra Rice | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 16.4% | 26.6% | 33.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.