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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.10+2.70vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis-0.58+4.36vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles-1.03+3.88vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy-0.45+1.17vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43+3.08vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94+0.44vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.63-1.44vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-1.13-0.85vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.72+0.24vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.93-0.29vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-1.39-2.69vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-1.94-2.22vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.93-3.14vs Predicted
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14California Poly Maritime Academy-1.63-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7University of California at Santa Cruz0.1021.3%1st Place
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6.36University of California at Davis-0.588.3%1st Place
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6.88University of California at Los Angeles-1.037.0%1st Place
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5.17California Poly Maritime Academy-0.4512.2%1st Place
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8.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.434.5%1st Place
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6.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.947.5%1st Place
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5.56University of California at Berkeley-0.6311.1%1st Place
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7.15San Diego State University-1.136.7%1st Place
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9.24University of California at San Diego-1.724.2%1st Place
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9.71University of California at San Diego-1.932.7%1st Place
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8.31University of California at Los Angeles-1.394.8%1st Place
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9.78California State University Channel Islands-1.942.7%1st Place
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9.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.932.6%1st Place
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8.75California Poly Maritime Academy-1.634.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Zemke | 21.3% | 19.2% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| samson grunwald | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Christopher Shintani | 12.2% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Walden Hillegass | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% |
| Nathan Briar | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Max Lawall | 11.1% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Blake Grossman | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Michael Nodini | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 15.0% |
| Joseph Weil | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 17.8% |
| Deven Douglas | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% |
| Brooke Rodgers | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 18.1% |
| Alexis Di Stefano | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 18.6% |
| Rebecca Masliah | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.