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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.07+2.54vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.45+0.95vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.45-0.03vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99+1.49vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-0.72+3.22vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.30-2.88vs Predicted
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8Yale University0.34-1.30vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.64-2.90vs Predicted
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10Williams College-0.03-2.73vs Predicted
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11Sacred Heart University-0.95-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54Brown University2.070.2%1st Place
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2.95Yale University2.450.2%1st Place
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2.97Dartmouth College2.450.2%1st Place
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5.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
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8.22University of Connecticut-0.720.0%1st Place
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3.12Tufts University2.300.2%1st Place
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6.7Yale University0.340.0%1st Place
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6.1University of Rhode Island0.640.0%1st Place
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7.27Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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8.64Sacred Heart University-0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmett Weeks | 17.8% | 17.4% | 15.9% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Eric Anderson | 22.9% | 23.4% | 20.1% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Petno | 22.6% | 21.6% | 19.8% | 17.5% | 12.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 16.0% | 19.0% | 17.3% | 12.1% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Alexandra Rice | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 25.4% | 34.2% |
| Kate Levinson | 22.0% | 19.6% | 19.4% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Foreman | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 15.6% | 20.0% | 18.2% | 15.4% | 6.0% |
| Samuel Morley | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 19.0% | 18.7% | 7.7% | 3.6% |
| Jorge Castro | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 22.4% | 20.5% | 12.2% |
| Katherine Horne | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 25.5% | 42.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.