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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Emmett Weeks 17.8% 17.4% 15.9% 16.8% 15.5% 10.0% 4.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Eric Anderson 22.9% 23.4% 20.1% 15.0% 10.0% 5.5% 2.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Petno 22.6% 21.6% 19.8% 17.5% 12.1% 4.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Priscilla Stoll 4.8% 6.3% 8.1% 10.7% 16.0% 19.0% 17.3% 12.1% 4.7% 1.0%
Alexandra Rice 1.2% 1.3% 2.0% 2.4% 5.2% 5.5% 9.5% 13.3% 25.4% 34.2%
Kate Levinson 22.0% 19.6% 19.4% 16.2% 12.5% 7.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Zachary Foreman 2.5% 2.2% 3.8% 7.3% 9.0% 15.6% 20.0% 18.2% 15.4% 6.0%
Samuel Morley 3.5% 5.0% 6.5% 7.9% 11.5% 16.6% 19.0% 18.7% 7.7% 3.6%
Jorge Castro 2.0% 2.2% 3.3% 4.5% 5.8% 11.7% 15.4% 22.4% 20.5% 12.2%
Katherine Horne 0.7% 1.0% 1.1% 1.7% 2.4% 4.6% 7.8% 12.4% 25.5% 42.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.