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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.74+1.17vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.12+0.94vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.30-0.28vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.40-0.33vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-1.41-0.15vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17University of California at Berkeley0.7437.5%1st Place
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2.94University of Hawaii0.1219.7%1st Place
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2.72University of California at Santa Cruz0.3023.9%1st Place
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3.67University of California at San Diego-0.4011.0%1st Place
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4.85University of California at Davis-1.413.9%1st Place
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4.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.954.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Olsen | 37.5% | 28.2% | 19.1% | 10.9% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 19.7% | 22.2% | 22.9% | 19.4% | 11.3% | 4.5% |
| Summer Drake | 23.9% | 23.4% | 23.6% | 17.3% | 9.2% | 2.5% |
| Rita Usmanova | 11.0% | 14.7% | 16.7% | 23.5% | 22.7% | 11.5% |
| Melody Quevedo | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 13.1% | 25.9% | 44.4% |
| Macy Rowe | 4.0% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 15.7% | 27.4% | 36.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.