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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.45+1.98vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.07+1.57vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99+2.46vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.45-1.07vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-0.72+3.23vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.30-2.85vs Predicted
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7Williams College-0.03+0.32vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.64-1.93vs Predicted
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9Yale University0.34-2.35vs Predicted
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11Sacred Heart University-0.95-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98Yale University2.450.2%1st Place
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3.57Brown University2.070.2%1st Place
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5.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.1%1st Place
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2.93Dartmouth College2.450.2%1st Place
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8.23University of Connecticut-0.720.0%1st Place
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3.15Tufts University2.300.2%1st Place
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7.32Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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6.07University of Rhode Island0.640.0%1st Place
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6.65Yale University0.340.0%1st Place
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8.63Sacred Heart University-0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Anderson | 22.9% | 23.0% | 20.1% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emmett Weeks | 15.3% | 17.9% | 17.4% | 18.5% | 14.7% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 20.7% | 17.1% | 11.0% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Emily Petno | 23.8% | 21.1% | 21.0% | 16.4% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Rice | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 26.0% | 33.9% |
| Kate Levinson | 21.5% | 19.6% | 18.3% | 18.1% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jorge Castro | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 17.4% | 22.7% | 20.4% | 11.6% |
| Samuel Morley | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 17.6% | 20.1% | 15.3% | 8.8% | 3.2% |
| Zachary Foreman | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 20.9% | 15.2% | 6.1% |
| Katherine Horne | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 13.7% | 23.4% | 43.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.