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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.45+1.95vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99+3.47vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.30+0.22vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.07-0.49vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-0.72+3.21vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.45-3.09vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University-0.95+1.72vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.64-1.93vs Predicted
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10Yale University0.34-3.35vs Predicted
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11Williams College-0.03-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95Yale University2.450.2%1st Place
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5.47Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.1%1st Place
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3.22Tufts University2.300.2%1st Place
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3.51Brown University2.070.2%1st Place
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8.21University of Connecticut-0.720.0%1st Place
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2.91Dartmouth College2.450.2%1st Place
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8.72Sacred Heart University-0.950.0%1st Place
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6.07University of Rhode Island0.640.0%1st Place
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6.65Yale University0.340.0%1st Place
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7.27Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Anderson | 23.4% | 23.5% | 20.2% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 6.2% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 15.1% | 19.7% | 16.9% | 13.1% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 20.6% | 17.4% | 18.7% | 20.1% | 13.3% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Weeks | 15.3% | 17.7% | 19.3% | 18.3% | 14.3% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Rice | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 24.2% | 34.0% |
| Emily Petno | 24.1% | 24.1% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 10.1% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Horne | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 26.4% | 44.1% |
| Samuel Morley | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 18.9% | 19.3% | 15.7% | 9.7% | 2.5% |
| Zachary Foreman | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 18.6% | 20.3% | 15.1% | 5.5% |
| Jorge Castro | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 16.5% | 21.6% | 19.5% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.