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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+0.99vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis-0.58+4.92vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.10+1.27vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy-0.45+1.85vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.63+1.25vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43+2.69vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.39+1.54vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94-0.88vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.03-1.65vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-1.13-2.32vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.72-1.25vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-1.94-1.77vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.93-2.90vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.93-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.99California Poly Maritime Academy1.6247.2%1st Place
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6.92University of California at Davis-0.584.8%1st Place
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4.27University of California at Santa Cruz0.1011.3%1st Place
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5.85California Poly Maritime Academy-0.456.5%1st Place
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6.25University of California at Berkeley-0.635.5%1st Place
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8.69Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.432.9%1st Place
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8.54University of California at Los Angeles-1.392.5%1st Place
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7.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.945.3%1st Place
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7.35University of California at Los Angeles-1.033.9%1st Place
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7.68San Diego State University-1.134.0%1st Place
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9.75University of California at San Diego-1.722.4%1st Place
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10.23California State University Channel Islands-1.941.6%1st Place
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10.1University of California at San Diego-1.931.1%1st Place
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10.26Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.931.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 47.2% | 27.6% | 13.1% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Jack Zemke | 11.3% | 16.1% | 16.8% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Shintani | 6.5% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Max Lawall | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Walden Hillegass | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 6.9% |
| Deven Douglas | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.2% |
| Nathan Briar | 5.3% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| samson grunwald | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Blake Grossman | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Michael Nodini | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 16.0% |
| Brooke Rodgers | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 21.1% |
| Joseph Weil | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 15.9% | 17.8% |
| Alexis Di Stefano | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.