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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Emmett Weeks 17.3% 18.3% 16.3% 15.9% 16.3% 9.6% 4.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0%
Emily Petno 24.4% 20.6% 20.3% 15.4% 11.6% 4.9% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexandra Rice 1.2% 1.1% 1.5% 2.4% 3.0% 6.0% 8.1% 14.4% 27.5% 34.8%
Priscilla Stoll 4.7% 5.3% 8.8% 12.4% 16.4% 17.5% 16.9% 11.7% 5.4% 0.9%
Kate Levinson 20.1% 21.3% 19.1% 16.4% 12.6% 6.5% 2.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Eric Anderson 24.2% 22.9% 19.3% 16.3% 9.2% 5.9% 1.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Samuel Morley 3.3% 3.0% 6.2% 9.0% 11.8% 18.2% 21.2% 16.2% 8.9% 2.2%
Zachary Foreman 2.6% 3.5% 5.0% 5.8% 9.5% 14.9% 19.0% 20.6% 13.4% 5.7%
Katherine Horne 0.4% 1.3% 0.9% 1.8% 2.8% 4.5% 7.7% 12.7% 23.5% 44.4%
Jorge Castro 1.8% 2.7% 2.6% 4.6% 6.8% 12.0% 16.0% 21.5% 20.0% 12.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.