← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.07+2.52vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.45+0.96vs Predicted
-
3University of Connecticut-0.72+5.36vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99+1.48vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.30-1.83vs Predicted
-
6Yale University2.45-3.09vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island0.64-0.88vs Predicted
-
8Yale University0.34-1.40vs Predicted
-
9Sacred Heart University-0.95-0.35vs Predicted
-
11Williams College-0.03-3.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.52Brown University2.070.2%1st Place
-
2.96Dartmouth College2.450.2%1st Place
-
8.36University of Connecticut-0.720.0%1st Place
-
5.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
-
3.17Tufts University2.300.2%1st Place
-
2.91Yale University2.450.2%1st Place
-
6.12University of Rhode Island0.640.0%1st Place
-
6.6Yale University0.340.0%1st Place
-
8.65Sacred Heart University-0.950.0%1st Place
-
7.23Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmett Weeks | 17.3% | 18.3% | 16.3% | 15.9% | 16.3% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Emily Petno | 24.4% | 20.6% | 20.3% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Rice | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 14.4% | 27.5% | 34.8% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 17.5% | 16.9% | 11.7% | 5.4% | 0.9% |
| Kate Levinson | 20.1% | 21.3% | 19.1% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eric Anderson | 24.2% | 22.9% | 19.3% | 16.3% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Morley | 3.3% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 18.2% | 21.2% | 16.2% | 8.9% | 2.2% |
| Zachary Foreman | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 14.9% | 19.0% | 20.6% | 13.4% | 5.7% |
| Katherine Horne | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 23.5% | 44.4% |
| Jorge Castro | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 21.5% | 20.0% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.