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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.12+1.97vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+2.68vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.30-0.33vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.74-1.79vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.40-1.34vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-1.41-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97University of Hawaii0.1218.6%1st Place
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4.68Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.954.4%1st Place
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2.67University of California at Santa Cruz0.3025.0%1st Place
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2.21University of California at Berkeley0.7436.5%1st Place
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3.66University of California at San Diego-0.4011.3%1st Place
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4.83University of California at Davis-1.414.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Fourney | 18.6% | 21.6% | 23.4% | 21.1% | 11.3% | 3.9% |
| Macy Rowe | 4.4% | 5.7% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 28.7% | 37.2% |
| Summer Drake | 25.0% | 24.8% | 21.6% | 17.8% | 8.6% | 2.1% |
| Katherine Olsen | 36.5% | 28.9% | 18.4% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Rita Usmanova | 11.3% | 13.8% | 17.3% | 23.8% | 22.7% | 11.1% |
| Melody Quevedo | 4.1% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 23.8% | 44.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.