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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.49+7.77vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.13+8.28vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.64+5.22vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+2.62vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy4.16+0.99vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+1.06vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.31+2.30vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.81-0.81vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-1.03vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.00+0.82vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.78-3.47vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-2.99vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.11+0.56vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College4.05-7.84vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.69-0.06vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.92-5.12vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.73-5.28vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University1.61-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.77University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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10.28Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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8.22College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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6.62St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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5.99U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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7.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.3Roger Williams University3.310.0%1st Place
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7.19Tufts University3.810.1%1st Place
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7.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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10.82SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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7.53Boston College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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13.56Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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6.16Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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14.94University of Pennsylvania1.690.0%1st Place
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10.88Old Dominion University2.920.0%1st Place
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11.72Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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14.98Northwestern University1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stocke | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Trevor Burd | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Mac Mace | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Martin Sterling | 12.8% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Austen Anderson | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Josh Saltmarsh | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Criezis | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ted Green | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 2.7% |
| Christian Manchester | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Liberty | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Michael Rivlin | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 17.5% | 18.1% |
| Matthew Wefer | 10.2% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Pilling | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 12.1% | 19.0% | 32.3% |
| Zach Runci | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 3.1% |
| Alexander Sachs | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 6.0% |
| George Powell | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 20.1% | 32.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.