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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+3.18vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.58+4.68vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.99+0.66vs Predicted
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4University of North Texas-0.15+5.00vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+0.96vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.21+2.94vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+0.28vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.74-1.73vs Predicted
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9University of Texas0.13-0.80vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.19-1.08vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands-1.34+0.67vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis0.00-3.60vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.46-0.84vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles1.79-10.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.18University of California at Santa Barbara1.3515.8%1st Place
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6.68University of California at Berkeley0.586.3%1st Place
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3.66California Poly Maritime Academy1.9921.1%1st Place
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9.0University of North Texas-0.152.0%1st Place
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5.96University of California at Santa Cruz0.868.4%1st Place
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8.94Northwestern University-0.213.0%1st Place
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7.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.515.5%1st Place
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6.27University of Washington0.747.0%1st Place
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8.2University of Texas0.133.5%1st Place
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8.92San Diego State University-0.192.8%1st Place
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11.67California State University Channel Islands-1.340.8%1st Place
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8.4University of California at Davis0.003.1%1st Place
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12.16University of California at San Diego-1.460.7%1st Place
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3.69University of California at Los Angeles1.7920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Reid | 15.8% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael McCulloch | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Brock Paquin | 21.1% | 18.6% | 15.4% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Snyder | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 4.5% |
| Blake Roberts | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Maxime Visa | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 4.6% |
| Max Case | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Erin Pamplin | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Reilly Linn | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Morgan Burton | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 4.5% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 24.9% | 33.8% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 2.5% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 10.2% | 19.8% | 46.0% |
| Grant Janov | 20.1% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.