← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.27+7.48vs Predicted
-
2Eckerd College2.91+8.04vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston3.20+5.78vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island3.02+5.25vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College2.51+6.38vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University3.48+1.40vs Predicted
-
7Yale University4.10-1.90vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.84vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College3.23-0.66vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University2.53+1.68vs Predicted
-
11Brown University3.01-1.46vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University2.71-0.91vs Predicted
-
13Boston College3.51-5.83vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University2.87-4.31vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-3.50vs Predicted
-
16University of South Florida3.29-7.71vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-6.71vs Predicted
-
18Boston University2.05-4.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.48Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
-
10.04Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
-
8.78College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
-
9.25University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
-
11.38Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
-
7.4Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
-
5.1Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
-
9.84U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
-
8.34Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
11.68Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
-
9.54Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
11.09Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
-
7.17Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
-
9.69Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
-
11.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
-
8.29University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
-
10.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
-
13.15Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Kaye Siemers | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.5% |
| Natalie Salk | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.5% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 12.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.7% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% |
| Lauren Cefali | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 11.0% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.