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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.51+6.57vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+3.22vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+7.27vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.20+4.54vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.29+3.22vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.02+3.41vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.91+2.81vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.01+1.31vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.51+2.57vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.27-1.44vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.71-0.13vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.87-1.57vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.48-5.72vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.23-5.81vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-3.42vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-6.60vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.05-3.51vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.53-6.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.57Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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5.22Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.27U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.54College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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8.22University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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9.41University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.81Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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9.31Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
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11.57Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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8.56Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.87Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.43Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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7.28Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.19Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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9.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.0%1st Place
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13.49Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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11.29Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Morgan Kiss | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% |
| Abby Featherstone | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% |
| Sarah Mace | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% |
| Natalie Salk | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Lauren Cefali | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 10.7% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 27.2% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.