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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+1.04vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy-0.45+3.86vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.10+1.24vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis-0.58+3.04vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.63+1.25vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-1.03+1.31vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.39+1.78vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94-0.89vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.93+1.01vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-1.13-2.19vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43-2.43vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.72-2.25vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-1.94-2.88vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.93-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04California Poly Maritime Academy1.6244.4%1st Place
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5.86California Poly Maritime Academy-0.456.8%1st Place
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4.24University of California at Santa Cruz0.1012.0%1st Place
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7.04University of California at Davis-0.584.2%1st Place
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6.25University of California at Berkeley-0.636.2%1st Place
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7.31University of California at Los Angeles-1.034.6%1st Place
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8.78University of California at Los Angeles-1.392.6%1st Place
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7.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.944.8%1st Place
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10.01University of California at San Diego-1.931.7%1st Place
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7.81San Diego State University-1.133.9%1st Place
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8.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.433.5%1st Place
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9.75University of California at San Diego-1.721.7%1st Place
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10.12California State University Channel Islands-1.942.2%1st Place
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10.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.931.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 44.4% | 28.9% | 13.7% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Shintani | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Jack Zemke | 12.0% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Max Lawall | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| samson grunwald | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Deven Douglas | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% |
| Nathan Briar | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Joseph Weil | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 19.5% |
| Blake Grossman | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% |
| Walden Hillegass | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.1% |
| Michael Nodini | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 16.6% |
| Brooke Rodgers | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 19.6% |
| Alexis Di Stefano | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.