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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.48+6.66vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.88+8.26vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.23+5.68vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.10+1.09vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.20+3.59vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+3.38vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.51+0.27vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.87+1.98vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.02+0.34vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.29-1.52vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.27-2.60vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.91-1.79vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.01-3.76vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.53-2.88vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-3.41vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.71-5.19vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.51-5.32vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.05-4.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.66Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.26U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.68Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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5.09Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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8.59College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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7.27Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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9.98Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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9.34University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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8.48University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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8.4Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.21Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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9.24Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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11.12Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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11.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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10.81Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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11.68Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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13.21Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Salk | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Morgan Kiss | 15.7% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| Abby Featherstone | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 10.5% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.1% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.7% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 14.0% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.