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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.74+1.21vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+2.64vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.12-0.02vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.40-0.42vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-1.41-0.13vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.30-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21University of California at Berkeley0.7434.8%1st Place
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4.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.956.2%1st Place
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2.98University of Hawaii0.1219.7%1st Place
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3.58University of California at San Diego-0.4012.1%1st Place
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4.87University of California at Davis-1.413.4%1st Place
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2.73University of California at Santa Cruz0.3023.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Olsen | 34.8% | 29.6% | 20.2% | 10.8% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Macy Rowe | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 27.9% | 38.2% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 19.7% | 19.7% | 23.8% | 20.3% | 13.1% | 3.4% |
| Rita Usmanova | 12.1% | 14.4% | 18.4% | 24.1% | 20.6% | 10.4% |
| Melody Quevedo | 3.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 26.2% | 44.9% |
| Summer Drake | 23.8% | 23.5% | 22.2% | 19.8% | 8.1% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.