← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Los Angeles1.79+2.61vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+2.21vs Predicted
-
3California Poly Maritime Academy1.99+0.69vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+2.12vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington0.74+1.43vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+1.37vs Predicted
-
7University of North Texas-0.15+1.84vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley0.58-1.31vs Predicted
-
9San Diego State University-0.19-0.10vs Predicted
-
10University of Texas0.13-1.90vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Davis0.00-2.62vs Predicted
-
12Northwestern University-0.21-3.14vs Predicted
-
13California State University Channel Islands-1.34-1.38vs Predicted
-
14University of California at San Diego-1.46-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.61University of California at Los Angeles1.7920.0%1st Place
-
4.21University of California at Santa Barbara1.3515.4%1st Place
-
3.69California Poly Maritime Academy1.9921.1%1st Place
-
6.12University of California at Santa Cruz0.867.4%1st Place
-
6.43University of Washington0.747.5%1st Place
-
7.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.514.0%1st Place
-
8.84University of North Texas-0.153.1%1st Place
-
6.69University of California at Berkeley0.586.0%1st Place
-
8.9San Diego State University-0.193.8%1st Place
-
8.1University of Texas0.133.7%1st Place
-
8.38University of California at Davis0.003.5%1st Place
-
8.86Northwestern University-0.212.9%1st Place
-
11.62California State University Channel Islands-1.340.9%1st Place
-
12.18University of California at San Diego-1.460.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Janov | 20.0% | 19.1% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 15.4% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brock Paquin | 21.1% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Erin Pamplin | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Max Case | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Taylor Snyder | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 4.5% |
| Michael McCulloch | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Burton | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 4.0% |
| Reilly Linn | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 2.5% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 3.4% |
| Maxime Visa | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 5.0% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 24.1% | 33.1% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 9.8% | 20.4% | 46.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.