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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.20+7.86vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.02+7.62vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.51+4.48vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.53+7.25vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.48+2.45vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.88+4.00vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+4.60vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+1.29vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.27-0.74vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.87+0.29vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.91-1.02vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.51-0.06vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.05+0.21vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.23-5.76vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.01-5.61vs Predicted
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16Yale University4.10-10.78vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida3.29-8.60vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.71-7.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.86College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.62University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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7.48Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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11.25Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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7.45Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.0U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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11.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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9.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.0%1st Place
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8.26Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.29Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.98Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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11.94Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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13.21Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.24Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.39Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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5.22Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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8.4University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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10.52Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Lucas | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Chanel Miller | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.1% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.4% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 13.8% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 25.3% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% |
| Morgan Kiss | 15.1% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Abby Featherstone | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.