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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+4.32vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.91+8.13vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.51+8.83vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.20+4.51vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.29+3.21vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.48+1.46vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.23+1.45vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+3.51vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+0.35vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.71+0.98vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.01-1.48vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.88-1.67vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.27-4.84vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.51-6.96vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.53-3.63vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.02-6.50vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.87-6.86vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.05-4.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.32Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.13Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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11.83Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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8.51College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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8.21University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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7.46Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.45Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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9.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.0%1st Place
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10.98Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.52Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.33U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.16Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.04Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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11.37Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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9.5University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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10.14Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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13.2Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 13.1% | 15.3% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kaye Siemers | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 11.1% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.1% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.8% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.6% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.