← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+1.02vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Cruz0.10+2.21vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Davis-0.58+3.97vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy-0.45+1.81vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Los Angeles-1.03+2.30vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley-0.63+0.08vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego-1.93+3.15vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Los Angeles-1.39+0.63vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94-1.71vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43-1.08vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego-1.72-1.37vs Predicted
-
12San Diego State University-1.13-4.23vs Predicted
-
13California State University Channel Islands-1.94-2.77vs Predicted
-
14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.93-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.02California Poly Maritime Academy1.6246.3%1st Place
-
4.21University of California at Santa Cruz0.1012.7%1st Place
-
6.97University of California at Davis-0.585.5%1st Place
-
5.81California Poly Maritime Academy-0.457.0%1st Place
-
7.3University of California at Los Angeles-1.033.7%1st Place
-
6.08University of California at Berkeley-0.635.8%1st Place
-
10.15University of California at San Diego-1.931.6%1st Place
-
8.63University of California at Los Angeles-1.392.2%1st Place
-
7.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.944.5%1st Place
-
8.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.432.1%1st Place
-
9.63University of California at San Diego-1.722.1%1st Place
-
7.77San Diego State University-1.133.5%1st Place
-
10.23California State University Channel Islands-1.941.4%1st Place
-
9.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.931.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 46.3% | 27.4% | 13.5% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Zemke | 12.7% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jonah Brees | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Christopher Shintani | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| samson grunwald | 3.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Max Lawall | 5.8% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Joseph Weil | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 18.7% |
| Deven Douglas | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% |
| Nathan Briar | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Walden Hillegass | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 8.1% |
| Michael Nodini | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 14.9% |
| Blake Grossman | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.1% |
| Brooke Rodgers | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 20.9% |
| Alexis Di Stefano | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 19.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.