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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.12+1.99vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.74+0.13vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.40+0.63vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.30-1.25vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-0.38vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-1.41-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99University of Hawaii0.1219.9%1st Place
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2.13University of California at Berkeley0.7438.9%1st Place
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3.63University of California at San Diego-0.4010.8%1st Place
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2.75University of California at Santa Cruz0.3022.9%1st Place
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4.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.954.3%1st Place
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4.88University of California at Davis-1.413.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Fourney | 19.9% | 19.8% | 23.3% | 19.9% | 13.0% | 4.1% |
| Katherine Olsen | 38.9% | 28.3% | 18.6% | 10.1% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Rita Usmanova | 10.8% | 14.3% | 17.8% | 25.1% | 21.9% | 10.1% |
| Summer Drake | 22.9% | 24.3% | 23.0% | 17.2% | 9.7% | 2.9% |
| Macy Rowe | 4.3% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 28.7% | 35.1% |
| Melody Quevedo | 3.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 12.7% | 23.2% | 47.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.