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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+7.60vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.91+8.14vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.48+4.63vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.02+5.34vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.51+2.37vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.10-0.83vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.51+4.54vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.96vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.20-0.47vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.71+1.01vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.87-0.80vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.01-2.13vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.29-4.91vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-3.14vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.23-6.54vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.05-2.53vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.53-5.39vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-8.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.6Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.14Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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7.63Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.34University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.37Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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5.17Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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11.54Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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9.96U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.53College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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11.01Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.2Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.87Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
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8.09University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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10.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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8.46Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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13.47Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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11.61Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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9.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Kaye Siemers | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% |
| Natalie Salk | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.7% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 9.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% |
| Abby Featherstone | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 27.2% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 13.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.