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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+7.75vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.48+5.62vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.29+5.50vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.20+4.52vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.02+4.35vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+5.14vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.10-1.83vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.91+1.80vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.51+2.64vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.71+1.01vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.27-2.50vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.88-1.63vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.51-5.78vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.01-4.88vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-5.66vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.87-5.86vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.05-3.51vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.53-6.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.75Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.62Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.5University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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8.52College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.35University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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11.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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5.17Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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9.8Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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11.64Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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11.01Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.5Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.37U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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7.22Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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9.12Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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10.14Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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13.49Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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11.32Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Natalie Salk | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.3% | 15.6% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 26.9% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.