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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.79+2.67vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.99+1.79vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+1.36vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.74+2.75vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.70+1.71vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.98-0.05vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis0.00+1.74vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-1.60vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-1.47vs Predicted
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10University of North Texas-0.15-0.82vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-0.19-1.88vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-0.21-3.06vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.46-0.83vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-1.34-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67University of California at Los Angeles1.7920.9%1st Place
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3.79California Poly Maritime Academy1.9919.3%1st Place
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4.36University of California at Santa Barbara1.3515.2%1st Place
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6.75University of Washington0.746.8%1st Place
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6.71University of Rhode Island0.706.7%1st Place
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5.95University of California at Berkeley0.987.0%1st Place
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8.74University of California at Davis0.003.8%1st Place
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6.4University of California at Santa Cruz0.866.9%1st Place
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7.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.514.7%1st Place
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9.18University of North Texas-0.151.8%1st Place
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9.12San Diego State University-0.192.9%1st Place
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8.94Northwestern University-0.212.6%1st Place
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12.17University of California at San Diego-1.460.6%1st Place
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11.7California State University Channel Islands-1.340.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Janov | 20.9% | 19.1% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 19.3% | 17.4% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 15.2% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| John Mason | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 2.9% |
| Blake Roberts | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Max Case | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Taylor Snyder | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 5.0% |
| Morgan Burton | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 4.6% |
| Maxime Visa | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 5.5% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 19.9% | 46.5% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 24.9% | 32.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.