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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.32+2.63vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University-1.13+5.78vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis-0.58+3.80vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy-0.45+1.83vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-1.39+3.66vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.40-0.29vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.72+2.76vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43+0.60vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.93+1.14vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94-2.97vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.24-7.26vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.93-2.00vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-1.94-2.99vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.03-6.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63California Poly Maritime Academy0.3221.4%1st Place
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7.78San Diego State University-1.134.5%1st Place
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6.8University of California at Davis-0.587.0%1st Place
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5.83California Poly Maritime Academy-0.458.6%1st Place
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8.66University of California at Los Angeles-1.393.5%1st Place
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5.71University of California at Berkeley-0.409.2%1st Place
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9.76University of California at San Diego-1.722.3%1st Place
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8.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.433.6%1st Place
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10.14University of California at San Diego-1.932.5%1st Place
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7.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.946.9%1st Place
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3.74University of California at Santa Cruz0.2420.2%1st Place
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10.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.933.0%1st Place
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10.01California State University Channel Islands-1.942.1%1st Place
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7.3University of California at Los Angeles-1.035.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etienne Quille | 21.4% | 17.8% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Grossman | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Shintani | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Deven Douglas | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% |
| Aivan Durfee | 9.2% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Michael Nodini | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 16.0% |
| Walden Hillegass | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% |
| Joseph Weil | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 21.1% |
| Nathan Briar | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Hunter Holguin | 20.2% | 17.8% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Di Stefano | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 19.2% |
| Brooke Rodgers | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 18.5% |
| samson grunwald | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.