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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.91+9.02vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.29+6.44vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.48+4.63vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+6.11vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.20+3.56vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.10-0.93vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.51+0.31vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.02+1.31vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.27-0.80vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.87+0.26vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.23-2.39vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.88-1.62vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.53-1.71vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.71-3.63vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-3.90vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.51-4.39vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.01-7.45vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.05-4.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.02Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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8.44University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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7.63Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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8.56College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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5.07Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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7.31Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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9.31University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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8.2Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.26Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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8.61Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.38U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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11.29Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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10.37Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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11.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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11.61Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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9.55Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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13.16Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaye Siemers | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Morgan Kiss | 16.1% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.1% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 12.2% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.