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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+4.33vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.51+5.48vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.27+5.52vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.53+7.36vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.20+3.59vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.48+1.38vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.02+2.34vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.87+1.93vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+1.22vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.24vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.29-2.61vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.51-0.11vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.71-2.47vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-3.26vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.23-6.65vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.01-6.52vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.91-6.99vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.05-4.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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7.48Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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8.52Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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11.36Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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8.59College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.38Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.34University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.93Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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10.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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10.24U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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8.39University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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11.89Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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10.53Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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8.35Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.48Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
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10.01Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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13.23Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 13.9% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 12.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 4.8% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 13.9% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.