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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.12+1.93vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.74+0.24vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.40+0.59vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.30-1.25vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-0.38vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-1.41-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93University of Hawaii0.1219.4%1st Place
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2.24University of California at Berkeley0.7435.3%1st Place
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3.59University of California at San Diego-0.4013.3%1st Place
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2.75University of California at Santa Cruz0.3022.6%1st Place
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4.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.955.0%1st Place
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4.86University of California at Davis-1.414.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Fourney | 19.4% | 22.0% | 23.6% | 20.0% | 11.2% | 3.8% |
| Katherine Olsen | 35.3% | 28.3% | 20.2% | 10.5% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Rita Usmanova | 13.3% | 13.0% | 17.9% | 23.6% | 21.3% | 10.9% |
| Summer Drake | 22.6% | 24.6% | 21.9% | 19.1% | 9.5% | 2.3% |
| Macy Rowe | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 28.5% | 35.9% |
| Melody Quevedo | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 12.4% | 24.9% | 46.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.