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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+4.36vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+9.37vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.23+5.71vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.20+4.49vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.71+5.58vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.48+1.40vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.01+2.38vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.51-0.76vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.29-0.83vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.87+0.36vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.91-1.03vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-1.40vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.05+0.15vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.51-2.79vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.88-5.13vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.02-6.57vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.53-5.36vs Predicted
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18Stanford University3.27-9.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.36Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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11.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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8.71Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.49College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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10.58Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.4Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.38Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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7.24Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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8.17University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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10.36Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.97Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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10.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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13.15Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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11.21Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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9.87U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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9.43University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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11.64Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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8.08Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 13.4% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 8.0% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 13.7% | 24.9% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 10.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.4% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.