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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.79+2.83vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+2.48vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.99+0.84vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.70+2.64vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.74+1.58vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.21+3.14vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis0.00+1.53vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.98-2.06vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-2.74vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.19-0.85vs Predicted
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11University of North Texas-0.15-1.90vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-4.41vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-1.34-1.25vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.46-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83University of California at Los Angeles1.7918.9%1st Place
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4.48University of California at Santa Barbara1.3514.1%1st Place
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3.84California Poly Maritime Academy1.9920.3%1st Place
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6.64University of Rhode Island0.706.5%1st Place
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6.58University of Washington0.747.2%1st Place
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9.14Northwestern University-0.212.9%1st Place
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8.53University of California at Davis0.002.9%1st Place
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5.94University of California at Berkeley0.987.3%1st Place
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6.26University of California at Santa Cruz0.868.2%1st Place
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9.15San Diego State University-0.192.5%1st Place
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9.1University of North Texas-0.152.9%1st Place
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7.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.514.6%1st Place
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11.75California State University Channel Islands-1.340.8%1st Place
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12.17University of California at San Diego-1.460.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Grant Janov | 18.9% | 16.7% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Jasper Reid | 14.1% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Brock Paquin | 20.3% | 17.8% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
John Mason | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
Erin Pamplin | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
Maxime Visa | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 5.2% |
Sean von Engelbrechten | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 2.7% |
Nate Ingebritson | 7.3% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Blake Roberts | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
Morgan Burton | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 4.5% |
Taylor Snyder | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 4.2% |
Max Case | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
Joseph Silveira | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 25.4% | 33.1% |
Jonathan Hickey | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 18.9% | 47.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.