Race 4A

chesapeake-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Mats Braaten 8.3% 9.4% 10.0% 11.0% 11.8% 13.7% 14.6% 13.2% 8.1%
Owen Kohut 24.3% 21.8% 16.8% 14.0% 10.2% 7.3% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4%
Joseph Marynowski 5.8% 6.7% 8.8% 11.2% 10.6% 13.1% 14.7% 17.4% 11.8%
Teddy Martin 13.7% 13.5% 13.0% 11.1% 13.5% 12.4% 11.2% 8.2% 3.6%
Eva Wieting 3.6% 3.8% 3.4% 5.5% 5.3% 7.2% 8.8% 15.4% 46.7%
Benjamin Smith 16.2% 14.8% 14.8% 13.8% 12.5% 10.8% 8.3% 6.9% 1.9%
Hugh Carty 10.9% 11.7% 13.9% 13.4% 13.2% 11.2% 12.5% 8.6% 4.5%
Olivia Gilmore 5.3% 6.2% 6.6% 8.2% 10.0% 11.7% 14.0% 18.8% 19.4%
Tyler Brown 11.9% 12.2% 12.9% 11.8% 12.8% 12.6% 12.1% 10.0% 3.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.