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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+6.36vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+4.93vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.49+5.81vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.73+7.46vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College4.05+1.41vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.31+3.28vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.00+3.54vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.78-0.64vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.64-1.07vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-1.08vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy4.16-4.87vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-3.68vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.81-5.83vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.92-3.43vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.69-0.09vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.13-5.91vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.11-3.17vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University1.61-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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6.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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8.81University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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11.46Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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6.41Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.28Roger Williams University3.310.1%1st Place
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10.54SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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7.36Boston College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.93College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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8.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
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6.13U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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8.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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7.17Tufts University3.810.1%1st Place
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10.57Old Dominion University2.920.0%1st Place
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14.91University of Pennsylvania1.690.0%1st Place
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10.09Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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13.83Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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14.98Northwestern University1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austen Anderson | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Will Stocke | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Alexander Sachs | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 5.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Josh Saltmarsh | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Ted Green | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 2.1% |
| Christian Manchester | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Mac Mace | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Liberty | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Martin Sterling | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Eamon Glackin | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Criezis | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Zach Runci | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% |
| William Pilling | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 12.3% | 19.8% | 31.7% |
| Trevor Burd | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Michael Rivlin | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 18.3% | 18.6% |
| George Powell | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 20.5% | 32.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.