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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.48+6.66vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+3.17vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+7.23vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.51+3.22vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.27+3.21vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+4.17vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.23+1.42vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.02+1.26vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.29-0.84vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+1.82vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.91-1.04vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.51-0.14vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.20-4.55vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.01-4.96vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.71-4.35vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.87-5.92vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.53-5.47vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.05-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.66Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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5.17Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.23U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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7.22Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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8.21Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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8.42Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.26University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.16University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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11.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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9.96Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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11.86Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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8.45College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.04Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.65Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.08Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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11.53Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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13.12Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Salk | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Kiss | 12.4% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Mace | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.6% |
| Kaye Siemers | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 13.6% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.