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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.32+2.59vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis-0.58+5.04vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-1.72+6.67vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-1.03+3.41vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-1.39+3.63vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy-0.45-0.31vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-1.13+0.55vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.40-2.41vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.24-5.14vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43-1.39vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94-3.97vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-1.94-1.80vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.93-2.97vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.93-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59California Poly Maritime Academy0.3222.6%1st Place
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7.04University of California at Davis-0.586.2%1st Place
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9.67University of California at San Diego-1.722.6%1st Place
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7.41University of California at Los Angeles-1.035.9%1st Place
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8.63University of California at Los Angeles-1.393.9%1st Place
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5.69California Poly Maritime Academy-0.459.3%1st Place
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7.55San Diego State University-1.135.5%1st Place
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5.59University of California at Berkeley-0.4010.2%1st Place
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3.86University of California at Santa Cruz0.2418.1%1st Place
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8.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.433.6%1st Place
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7.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.946.2%1st Place
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10.2California State University Channel Islands-1.941.7%1st Place
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10.03University of California at San Diego-1.932.1%1st Place
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10.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.931.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etienne Quille | 22.6% | 19.7% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Michael Nodini | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 15.8% |
| samson grunwald | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Deven Douglas | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 7.0% |
| Christopher Shintani | 9.3% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Blake Grossman | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Aivan Durfee | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Hunter Holguin | 18.1% | 18.0% | 16.1% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Walden Hillegass | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% |
| Nathan Briar | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Brooke Rodgers | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 20.2% |
| Joseph Weil | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 20.0% |
| Alexis Di Stefano | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.