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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.12+1.95vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.74+0.23vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.40+0.67vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+0.64vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-1.41-0.14vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.30-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95University of Hawaii0.1219.8%1st Place
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2.23University of California at Berkeley0.7434.5%1st Place
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3.67University of California at San Diego-0.4010.4%1st Place
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4.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.955.1%1st Place
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4.86University of California at Davis-1.414.2%1st Place
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2.66University of California at Santa Cruz0.3025.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Fourney | 19.8% | 20.4% | 23.8% | 20.6% | 11.6% | 3.7% |
| Katherine Olsen | 34.5% | 29.0% | 20.9% | 11.0% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Rita Usmanova | 10.4% | 14.4% | 16.9% | 25.2% | 21.8% | 11.3% |
| Macy Rowe | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 29.4% | 36.0% |
| Melody Quevedo | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 12.7% | 24.6% | 46.0% |
| Summer Drake | 25.9% | 23.9% | 22.2% | 16.9% | 8.8% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.