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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.99+2.63vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.79+1.60vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+1.13vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University-0.19+4.84vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis0.00+3.21vs Predicted
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6University of North Texas-0.15+2.83vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-0.90vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.21+0.83vs Predicted
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9University of Washington0.74-2.72vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.70-3.71vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-3.79vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.25-2.68vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-1.34-1.31vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.46-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63California Poly Maritime Academy1.9920.7%1st Place
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3.6University of California at Los Angeles1.7920.9%1st Place
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4.13University of California at Santa Barbara1.3517.1%1st Place
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8.84San Diego State University-0.193.1%1st Place
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8.21University of California at Davis0.003.1%1st Place
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8.83University of North Texas-0.152.9%1st Place
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6.1University of California at Santa Cruz0.867.1%1st Place
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8.83Northwestern University-0.212.3%1st Place
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6.28University of Washington0.746.6%1st Place
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6.29University of Rhode Island0.707.1%1st Place
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7.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.515.2%1st Place
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9.32University of California at Berkeley-0.252.4%1st Place
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11.69California State University Channel Islands-1.340.8%1st Place
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12.03University of California at San Diego-1.460.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Paquin | 20.7% | 18.8% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 20.9% | 17.4% | 17.3% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 17.1% | 16.8% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Burton | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 4.8% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 2.9% |
| Taylor Snyder | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 4.1% |
| Blake Roberts | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Maxime Visa | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 3.5% |
| Erin Pamplin | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| John Mason | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Max Case | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 6.3% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 22.4% | 34.2% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 20.8% | 42.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.