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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+4.29vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+8.48vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.51+4.46vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.53+7.25vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+6.40vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.91+3.84vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.48+0.36vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.20+0.54vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.29-0.81vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.13vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.27-2.56vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.02-2.28vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.87-3.17vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.23-5.88vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.51-3.55vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.05-2.52vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.71-6.14vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.01-8.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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7.46Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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11.25Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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11.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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9.84Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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7.36Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.54College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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8.19University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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10.13U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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8.44Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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9.72University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.83Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.12Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.45Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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13.48Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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10.86Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.16Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 14.6% | 14.6% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.0% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 10.9% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.3% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 9.1% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 26.3% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.