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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.32+2.63vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy-0.45+3.54vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University-1.13+4.75vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis-0.58+2.96vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-1.39+3.71vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-1.03+1.41vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.72+2.67vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43+0.55vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.24-5.17vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.40-4.48vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94-3.89vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-1.94-1.91vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.93-2.84vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.93-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63California Poly Maritime Academy0.3220.1%1st Place
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5.54California Poly Maritime Academy-0.4510.2%1st Place
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7.75San Diego State University-1.135.5%1st Place
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6.96University of California at Davis-0.586.6%1st Place
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8.71University of California at Los Angeles-1.394.4%1st Place
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7.41University of California at Los Angeles-1.035.4%1st Place
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9.67University of California at San Diego-1.722.3%1st Place
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8.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.432.9%1st Place
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3.83University of California at Santa Cruz0.2419.4%1st Place
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5.52University of California at Berkeley-0.4010.4%1st Place
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7.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.946.1%1st Place
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10.09California State University Channel Islands-1.942.1%1st Place
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10.16University of California at San Diego-1.931.8%1st Place
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10.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.932.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etienne Quille | 20.1% | 19.3% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Shintani | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Blake Grossman | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% |
| Jonah Brees | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Deven Douglas | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 7.1% |
| samson grunwald | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Michael Nodini | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 15.7% |
| Walden Hillegass | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.5% |
| Hunter Holguin | 19.4% | 17.1% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aivan Durfee | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Briar | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Brooke Rodgers | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 20.5% |
| Joseph Weil | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 20.9% |
| Alexis Di Stefano | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 16.1% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.