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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+9.38vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+6.46vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+2.23vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.51+3.22vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.48+2.40vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.53+5.41vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.88+2.96vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.51+3.43vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.87+0.95vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.71+0.93vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.29-2.67vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.02-2.31vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.23-4.73vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-2.75vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.20-6.50vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.01-6.51vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.91-7.09vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.05-4.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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8.46Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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5.23Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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7.22Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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7.4Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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11.41Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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9.96U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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11.43Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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9.95Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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10.93Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.33University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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9.69University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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8.27Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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8.5College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.49Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
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9.91Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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13.2Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Lepert | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.2% |
| Sarah Mace | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.6% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 12.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 12.1% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 11.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% |
| Kaye Siemers | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 4.0% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.