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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.74+4.69vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.98+6.77vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.14+5.19vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.71+2.03vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+1.89vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.74+3.98vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+4.27vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.92+0.84vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.71+1.19vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.97-1.26vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.18-2.83vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.58-1.58vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.40-2.68vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.51-4.09vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.59-5.58vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.23-9.17vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.87-8.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.77Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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8.19Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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6.03College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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6.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.98Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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11.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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8.84Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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10.19U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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8.74Boston College2.970.0%1st Place
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8.17Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.42Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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11.32Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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10.91University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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10.42University of Rhode Island2.590.0%1st Place
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7.83Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.33Brown University2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 13.6% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% |
| Clerc Cooper | 11.8% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 12.7% |
| Haley Powell | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.1% |
| Rachel Austin | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 15.0% |
| Colleen Hartman | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 11.4% |
| Christina Lewis | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% |
| Molly McKinney | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.