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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.74+1.21vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.12+0.99vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.40+0.69vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.30-1.31vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-0.40vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-1.41-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21University of California at Berkeley0.7435.2%1st Place
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2.99University of Hawaii0.1219.8%1st Place
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3.69University of California at San Diego-0.4010.4%1st Place
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2.69University of California at Santa Cruz0.3024.9%1st Place
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4.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.955.5%1st Place
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4.82University of California at Davis-1.414.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Olsen | 35.2% | 29.2% | 20.0% | 11.1% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 19.8% | 19.9% | 22.0% | 21.2% | 13.8% | 3.3% |
| Rita Usmanova | 10.4% | 14.5% | 16.8% | 23.7% | 23.1% | 11.6% |
| Summer Drake | 24.9% | 23.2% | 24.3% | 15.6% | 9.5% | 2.5% |
| Macy Rowe | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 14.9% | 27.0% | 36.5% |
| Melody Quevedo | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 22.9% | 45.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.