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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.79+2.59vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+2.12vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.74+3.25vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.99-0.27vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.70+1.42vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+0.05vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis0.00+1.37vs Predicted
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8University of North Texas-0.15+0.82vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-1.64vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.25-0.73vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-0.19-2.24vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-0.21-3.11vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.46-1.07vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-1.34-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59University of California at Los Angeles1.7921.9%1st Place
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4.12University of California at Santa Barbara1.3517.3%1st Place
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6.25University of Washington0.747.0%1st Place
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3.73California Poly Maritime Academy1.9918.4%1st Place
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6.42University of Rhode Island0.706.4%1st Place
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6.05University of California at Santa Cruz0.867.8%1st Place
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8.37University of California at Davis0.003.5%1st Place
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8.82University of North Texas-0.152.9%1st Place
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7.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.514.1%1st Place
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9.27University of California at Berkeley-0.252.2%1st Place
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8.76San Diego State University-0.193.2%1st Place
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8.89Northwestern University-0.213.4%1st Place
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11.93University of California at San Diego-1.460.8%1st Place
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11.45California State University Channel Islands-1.341.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Janov | 21.9% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 17.3% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Brock Paquin | 18.4% | 17.9% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Mason | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Blake Roberts | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 2.5% |
| Taylor Snyder | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 4.9% |
| Max Case | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 6.3% |
| Morgan Burton | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 5.5% |
| Maxime Visa | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 3.8% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 11.7% | 17.4% | 44.1% |
| Joseph Silveira | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 22.4% | 30.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.