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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.97+7.68vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College3.14+6.09vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.71+3.01vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.92+5.15vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.87+4.08vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.51+4.88vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.74-2.19vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-2.08vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.74+0.01vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+0.16vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.59-1.44vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.98-4.18vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.71-3.86vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.40-3.70vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.18-8.02vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.58-6.46vs Predicted
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18Stanford University3.23-10.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.68Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.09Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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6.01College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.15Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.08Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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10.88University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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5.81Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.01Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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11.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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10.56University of Rhode Island2.590.0%1st Place
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8.82Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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10.14U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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11.3Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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7.98Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.54Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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7.86Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Naughton | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Clerc Cooper | 11.9% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Haley Powell | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 10.4% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 14.5% |
| Christina Lewis | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% |
| Rachel Austin | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 15.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 10.8% |
| Molly McKinney | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.