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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles-1.39+7.56vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles-1.03+5.33vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.40+2.60vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.24-0.23vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University-1.13+2.79vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-0.58+0.90vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.93+3.09vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.72+1.80vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.93+1.06vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands-1.94+0.12vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43-2.43vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94-4.81vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy0.32-9.39vs Predicted
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14California Poly Maritime Academy-0.45-8.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.56University of California at Los Angeles-1.393.4%1st Place
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7.33University of California at Los Angeles-1.035.9%1st Place
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5.6University of California at Berkeley-0.4010.2%1st Place
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3.77University of California at Santa Cruz0.2420.0%1st Place
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7.79San Diego State University-1.134.7%1st Place
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6.9University of California at Davis-0.587.5%1st Place
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10.09University of California at San Diego-1.931.9%1st Place
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9.8University of California at San Diego-1.722.1%1st Place
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10.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.932.0%1st Place
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10.12California State University Channel Islands-1.942.4%1st Place
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8.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.433.9%1st Place
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7.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.945.3%1st Place
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3.61California Poly Maritime Academy0.3220.2%1st Place
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5.61California Poly Maritime Academy-0.4510.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deven Douglas | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 6.7% |
| samson grunwald | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Aivan Durfee | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Hunter Holguin | 20.0% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Blake Grossman | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
| Jonah Brees | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Joseph Weil | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 20.9% |
| Michael Nodini | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 16.7% |
| Alexis Di Stefano | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 19.2% |
| Brooke Rodgers | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 19.4% |
| Walden Hillegass | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 6.7% |
| Nathan Briar | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Etienne Quille | 20.2% | 17.9% | 17.8% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Shintani | 10.7% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.