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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.74+1.21vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.40+1.70vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.30-0.36vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+0.64vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.12-2.03vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-1.41-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21University of California at Berkeley0.7437.6%1st Place
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3.7University of California at San Diego-0.409.9%1st Place
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2.64University of California at Santa Cruz0.3025.4%1st Place
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4.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.955.0%1st Place
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2.97University of Hawaii0.1217.8%1st Place
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4.83University of California at Davis-1.414.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Olsen | 37.6% | 26.3% | 19.4% | 11.5% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| Rita Usmanova | 9.9% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 24.6% | 21.6% | 11.9% |
| Summer Drake | 25.4% | 25.4% | 21.8% | 16.7% | 8.3% | 2.4% |
| Macy Rowe | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 28.3% | 36.6% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 17.8% | 22.1% | 25.0% | 19.4% | 11.6% | 4.1% |
| Melody Quevedo | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 13.4% | 25.5% | 44.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.