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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.92+7.84vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.71+7.92vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+4.01vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.71+1.99vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.59+5.16vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College3.14+2.39vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.98+1.88vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.23-0.32vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.97+0.10vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.74-0.40vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.74-4.96vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.18-3.96vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.51-2.12vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.40-2.66vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-3.76vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.87-7.65vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.58-7.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.84Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.92U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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7.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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5.99College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.16University of Rhode Island2.590.0%1st Place
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8.39Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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8.88Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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7.68Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.1Boston College2.970.0%1st Place
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9.6Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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6.04Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.04Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.88University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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11.34Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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11.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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9.35Brown University2.870.0%1st Place
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10.55Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haley Powell | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.3% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 11.8% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Christina Lewis | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 10.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Molly McKinney | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% |
| Marlena Fauer | 12.6% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 12.8% |
| Rachel Austin | 2.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 14.3% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 14.9% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.