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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.79+2.45vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+2.16vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.99+0.77vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+3.28vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.70+1.42vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.74+0.47vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.21+1.89vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-0.19+0.91vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-2.95vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis0.00-1.64vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands-1.34+0.53vs Predicted
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12University of North Texas-0.15-3.20vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.25-4.09vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.46-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45University of California at Los Angeles1.7922.2%1st Place
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4.16University of California at Santa Barbara1.3514.5%1st Place
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3.77California Poly Maritime Academy1.9919.3%1st Place
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7.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.514.5%1st Place
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6.42University of Rhode Island0.707.8%1st Place
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6.47University of Washington0.746.9%1st Place
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8.89Northwestern University-0.213.4%1st Place
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8.91San Diego State University-0.192.9%1st Place
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6.05University of California at Santa Cruz0.868.0%1st Place
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8.36University of California at Davis0.002.9%1st Place
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11.53California State University Channel Islands-1.340.8%1st Place
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8.8University of North Texas-0.153.5%1st Place
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8.91University of California at Berkeley-0.252.8%1st Place
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12.01University of California at San Diego-1.460.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Janov | 22.2% | 19.7% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 14.5% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 19.3% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Case | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| John Mason | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Erin Pamplin | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Maxime Visa | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 5.1% |
| Morgan Burton | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 4.6% |
| Blake Roberts | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 24.4% | 30.2% |
| Taylor Snyder | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 4.7% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 4.9% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 18.8% | 45.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.