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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.32+2.68vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy-0.45+3.70vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.40+2.57vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-1.39+4.66vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-0.58+1.90vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.72+3.76vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-1.13+0.64vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-1.03-0.80vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43-0.42vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.24-6.19vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94-3.91vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-1.94-1.88vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.93-2.78vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.93-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68California Poly Maritime Academy0.3220.0%1st Place
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5.7California Poly Maritime Academy-0.459.7%1st Place
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5.57University of California at Berkeley-0.408.8%1st Place
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8.66University of California at Los Angeles-1.393.9%1st Place
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6.9University of California at Davis-0.587.1%1st Place
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9.76University of California at San Diego-1.722.7%1st Place
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7.64San Diego State University-1.134.6%1st Place
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7.2University of California at Los Angeles-1.035.7%1st Place
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8.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.434.0%1st Place
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3.81University of California at Santa Cruz0.2420.2%1st Place
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7.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.946.7%1st Place
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10.12California State University Channel Islands-1.942.0%1st Place
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10.22University of California at San Diego-1.932.1%1st Place
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10.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.932.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etienne Quille | 20.0% | 18.9% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Shintani | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Aivan Durfee | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Deven Douglas | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 7.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Michael Nodini | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 15.9% |
| Blake Grossman | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| samson grunwald | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Walden Hillegass | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 6.8% |
| Hunter Holguin | 20.2% | 16.5% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Briar | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Brooke Rodgers | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 19.5% |
| Joseph Weil | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 20.2% |
| Alexis Di Stefano | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.