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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.74+4.69vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.87+7.28vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.92+6.06vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.59+6.53vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.74+4.56vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College3.14+2.37vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.98+1.89vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.58+2.24vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.97+0.11vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.23-2.32vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.71-4.91vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.71-2.07vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.18-4.91vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.51-3.12vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.40-3.83vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-9.95vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-6.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.28Brown University2.870.0%1st Place
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9.06Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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10.53University of Rhode Island2.590.0%1st Place
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9.56Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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8.37Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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8.89Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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10.24Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.11Boston College2.970.0%1st Place
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7.68Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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6.09College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.93U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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8.09Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.88University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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11.17Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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7.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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11.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 14.0% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% |
| Haley Powell | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Christina Lewis | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Clerc Cooper | 13.0% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% |
| Colleen Hartman | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.0% |
| Rachel Austin | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 14.9% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.