Race 1A

boston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
James Altreuter 8.7% 9.0% 8.4% 10.5% 8.4% 11.5% 10.3% 10.4% 10.1% 8.5% 3.7% 0.5%
Conor Lodge 9.3% 10.8% 10.3% 9.5% 10.5% 10.5% 10.5% 8.8% 10.1% 6.9% 2.5% 0.3%
Quentin Chafee 13.6% 10.6% 12.8% 11.2% 11.8% 10.0% 9.8% 9.0% 5.8% 3.9% 1.4% 0.1%
Matt Johnson 15.0% 17.7% 13.8% 12.5% 11.6% 9.5% 6.6% 5.9% 4.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Alex Kavanaugh 5.3% 6.1% 5.9% 7.0% 7.7% 9.7% 8.0% 11.0% 12.1% 15.4% 9.5% 2.3%
Max Taylor 13.1% 11.3% 11.7% 12.3% 11.1% 9.7% 10.5% 8.0% 5.5% 5.2% 1.5% 0.1%
John Vrolyk 8.6% 8.9% 8.6% 9.7% 8.9% 9.0% 11.3% 9.4% 11.4% 8.1% 4.6% 1.5%
Colin Santangelo 13.1% 11.9% 12.2% 9.8% 9.6% 10.2% 8.9% 8.8% 7.7% 5.6% 2.0% 0.2%
Billy Hines 5.1% 5.5% 8.5% 8.0% 9.2% 8.5% 10.0% 10.6% 12.6% 15.0% 6.3% 0.7%
Tevis Nichols 6.1% 6.5% 6.0% 7.6% 7.8% 8.1% 9.3% 11.3% 13.1% 14.7% 7.8% 1.7%
John Fonte 1.5% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 2.0% 1.8% 3.3% 4.2% 4.9% 9.3% 35.0% 35.0%
Terry Clarke 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 2.6% 2.4% 5.3% 24.8% 57.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.