← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.16+4.26vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University1.54+6.30vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University1.70+4.10vs Predicted
-
4Hampton University0.58+4.52vs Predicted
-
5Christopher Newport University-0.84+8.24vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University1.07+3.56vs Predicted
-
7North Carolina State University1.12+2.11vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.13+1.04vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University1.22-0.25vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.85+0.01vs Predicted
-
11Cornell University0.94-1.56vs Predicted
-
12Tulane University2.05-6.65vs Predicted
-
13University of Miami1.93-4.94vs Predicted
-
14Webb Institute1.30-6.93vs Predicted
-
15Boston University0.40-3.22vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont0.36-3.95vs Predicted
-
17George Washington University0.70-6.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.26U. S. Naval Academy2.1614.7%1st Place
-
8.3Fordham University1.545.9%1st Place
-
7.1Jacksonville University1.708.1%1st Place
-
8.52Hampton University0.586.2%1st Place
-
13.24Christopher Newport University-0.841.8%1st Place
-
9.56Northeastern University1.074.2%1st Place
-
9.11North Carolina State University1.124.3%1st Place
-
9.04St. Mary's College of Maryland1.134.5%1st Place
-
8.75Old Dominion University1.225.7%1st Place
-
10.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.853.9%1st Place
-
9.44Cornell University0.944.7%1st Place
-
5.35Tulane University2.0512.8%1st Place
-
8.06University of Miami1.936.1%1st Place
-
7.07Webb Institute1.308.3%1st Place
-
11.78Boston University0.402.6%1st Place
-
12.05University of Vermont0.362.1%1st Place
-
10.37George Washington University0.704.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Reinecke | 14.7% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Thress | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Patrick Igoe | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Brown | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Laura Smith | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 32.8% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% |
| Benjamin Usher | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Raam Fox | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Pierce Brindley | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Jack Guinness | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% |
| Marcus Greco | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| John Wood | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Dennis | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Everett Botwinick | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Peter Stewart | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 14.8% |
| Marco Welch | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 15.5% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.