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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.74+1.17vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.12+0.96vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.40+0.64vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.30-1.23vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-0.36vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-1.41-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17University of California at Berkeley0.7436.5%1st Place
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2.96University of Hawaii0.1220.3%1st Place
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3.64University of California at San Diego-0.4011.2%1st Place
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2.77University of California at Santa Cruz0.3023.1%1st Place
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4.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.955.2%1st Place
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4.83University of California at Davis-1.413.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Olsen | 36.5% | 29.2% | 19.7% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 20.3% | 20.1% | 23.2% | 20.1% | 12.4% | 3.8% |
| Rita Usmanova | 11.2% | 13.6% | 18.4% | 24.9% | 21.1% | 10.8% |
| Summer Drake | 23.1% | 24.1% | 21.6% | 18.1% | 10.4% | 2.8% |
| Macy Rowe | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 28.6% | 36.4% |
| Melody Quevedo | 3.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 24.2% | 45.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.