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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+3.16vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.74+4.46vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.99+0.68vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+3.31vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.79-1.40vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis0.00+2.26vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-0.88vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.70-1.81vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.21-0.16vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.25-1.07vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-0.19-2.12vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-1.34-0.36vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.46-0.91vs Predicted
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14University of North Texas-0.15-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16University of California at Santa Barbara1.3516.3%1st Place
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6.46University of Washington0.745.6%1st Place
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3.68California Poly Maritime Academy1.9921.1%1st Place
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7.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.514.8%1st Place
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3.6University of California at Los Angeles1.7920.8%1st Place
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8.26University of California at Davis0.003.5%1st Place
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6.12University of California at Santa Cruz0.867.2%1st Place
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6.19University of Rhode Island0.708.6%1st Place
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8.84Northwestern University-0.212.4%1st Place
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8.93University of California at Berkeley-0.253.2%1st Place
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8.88San Diego State University-0.192.3%1st Place
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11.64California State University Channel Islands-1.340.9%1st Place
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12.09University of California at San Diego-1.460.8%1st Place
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8.85University of North Texas-0.152.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Reid | 16.3% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Brock Paquin | 21.1% | 18.2% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Case | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Grant Janov | 20.8% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 3.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| John Mason | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Maxime Visa | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 4.8% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 4.3% |
| Morgan Burton | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 3.5% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 24.1% | 33.9% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 20.2% | 44.3% |
| Taylor Snyder | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.