← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.71+8.77vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.18+5.94vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College3.14+5.18vs Predicted
-
4Boston University2.74+5.90vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.59+5.21vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.92+3.32vs Predicted
-
8Boston College2.97+0.89vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida2.51+1.48vs Predicted
-
10College of Charleston3.71-3.88vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University2.58-0.68vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-4.76vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University2.98-4.12vs Predicted
-
14Stanford University3.23-6.12vs Predicted
-
15Brown University2.87-5.56vs Predicted
-
16Old Dominion University2.40-4.78vs Predicted
-
17Yale University3.74-11.15vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-6.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.77U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
-
7.94Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
8.18Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
-
9.9Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
-
10.21University of Rhode Island2.590.0%1st Place
-
9.32Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
-
8.89Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
-
10.48University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
-
6.12College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
-
10.32Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
-
7.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
-
8.88Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
-
7.88Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
-
9.44Brown University2.870.0%1st Place
-
11.22Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
-
5.85Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
-
11.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Killian Corbishley | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 5.9% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% |
| Melany Johnson | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% |
| Christina Lewis | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% |
| Haley Powell | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
| Colleen Hartman | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.8% |
| Clerc Cooper | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 8.4% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% |
| Molly McKinney | 6.8% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% |
| Rachel Austin | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 14.6% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.2% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.